Brynmawr Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2024, Brynmawr recorded 72 crimes across a population of 5,313 residents, equating to a crime rate of 13.6 per 1,000 people. This figure is 83.8% higher than the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000, highlighting a stark contrast with national trends. The most common crime types were violence and sexual offences (25 incidents, 34.7% of total), followed by anti-social behaviour (22 incidents, 30.6%) and public order offences (9 incidents, 12.5%). These rates are significantly elevated compared to UK averages, with anti-social behaviour 314% above the national rate and violence and sexual offences 81% above. The post-holiday period in January, combined with reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours, likely contributes to the pattern of crimes observed. While violent crime remains a concern, the data suggests a seasonal shift in criminal activity, with fewer outdoor crimes typical of this time of year. The area’s socio-economic profile, which includes a mix of residential and industrial zones, may also play a role in shaping these trends, though direct causal links cannot be definitively established from this data alone.

January 2024 saw notable month-on-month changes in specific crime categories, with violence and sexual offences decreasing by 26.5% (from 34 to 25 incidents) and vehicle crime dropping by 80% (from 5 to 1 incident). This reduction in vehicle crime may reflect seasonal factors, such as fewer vehicles on the road during shorter winter days or changes in local activity patterns. Conversely, three categories experienced sharp increases: possession of weapons (+100%), robbery (+100%), and other crime (+100%), all rising from zero to one or two incidents. These spikes, while small in absolute terms, are particularly concerning given their 186–314% above UK averages. Anti-social behaviour, which accounted for 30.6% of all crimes, remains high at 314% above the UK rate, suggesting a persistent challenge in managing community disorder. Residents may find the 80% drop in vehicle crime a positive indicator, though the overall crime rate remains significantly elevated. The breakdown also reveals that property crimes (13 incidents) are relatively low compared to violent and anti-social crimes, a pattern consistent with the area’s urban character and limited retail presence.

The crime rate in Brynmawr for January 2024 (13.6 per 1,000) was 2.7% lower than the previous month’s rate of 13.9 per 1,000, indicating a slight downward trend. However, this remains 83.8% above the UK average, underscoring the area’s continued divergence from national norms. On a daily basis, 2 crimes were reported across 31 days, a figure that, while modest, reflects the concentrated nature of incidents in a relatively small population. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 74 residents, a monthly exposure rate that highlights the frequency of incidents in this built-up area. Given Brynmawr’s population of 5,313, this means that nearly 1 in 74 residents experienced a crime, a statistic that may be particularly impactful in a close-knit community. The comparison to the UK average further illustrates the area’s challenges, with violent crime and anti-social behaviour rates far exceeding national benchmarks. While the 2.7% monthly decrease offers some reassurance, the overall context remains one of elevated risk, requiring continued attention from local authorities and residents alike.