Brynmawr Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Brynmawr’s crime rate for October 2024 stood at 11.1 per 1,000 residents, placing it 37.0% above the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This figure reflects a persistent challenge in the area’s crime profile, with property and violent crimes dominating the landscape. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 25.4% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour at 23.7% and shoplifting at 18.6%. These patterns align with the area’s character as a small, built-up community within a rural district, where limited public spaces and seasonal factors may amplify certain crime types. The October data coincides with darker evenings and Halloween, both of which could contribute to increased anti-social behaviour and theft-related incidents. The rate of violent crime in Brynmawr (2.8 per 1,000) is 5% above the UK average for this category, while anti-social behaviour is 102% above the national benchmark. This stark deviation underscores the need for targeted interventions in high-risk areas, particularly during months with reduced daylight and heightened community events. The overall crime rate, though elevated, shows no immediate sign of a seasonal dip, suggesting that local conditions and community dynamics may play a more significant role than broader national trends.

October 2024 saw a dramatic 450% increase in shoplifting incidents, rising from 2 to 11 cases—a surge likely tied to Halloween and the seasonal shift into darker evenings. Anti-social behaviour also rose sharply by 180%, with reports jumping from 5 to 14, reflecting potential tensions exacerbated by the end of the academic term and reduced community oversight. In contrast, public order offences fell by 77.8%, declining from 9 to 2, possibly due to fewer large gatherings or heightened police presence in key areas. The rate of drug-related crimes tripled, increasing by 200% from 1 to 3 cases, a troubling trend that may indicate increased illicit activity during the autumn months. Brynmawr’s anti-social behaviour rate (2.6 per 1,000) is 102% above the UK average, while shoplifting (2.1 per 1,000) is 192% above the national benchmark. These figures highlight the area’s vulnerability to specific crime types, particularly those linked to transient populations or unmonitored public spaces. For residents, the most immediately relevant insight is the 450% spike in shoplifting, which may prompt retailers to implement additional security measures or community watch initiatives.

Brynmawr’s crime rate in October 2024 (11.1 per 1,000) represents a 13.4% increase from the previous month’s rate of 9.8 per 1,000, indicating a worrying upward trend over the past two months. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day in October—a figure that, while modest in absolute terms, translates to a monthly exposure rate of 1 reported crime for every 90 residents. This ratio underscores the frequency with which residents encounter crime in their daily lives, even if the overall numbers appear low. When compared to the UK average, Brynmawr’s elevated rates for anti-social behaviour and shoplifting suggest that local factors—such as the area’s limited infrastructure and seasonal fluctuations—play a more significant role than national trends. The population of 5,313 residents means that each individual faces a 1-in-90 chance of being directly affected by a crime over the course of the month, a statistic that may influence perceptions of safety and community cohesion. These figures, when contextualised against the broader UK picture, reveal a unique challenge for Brynmawr, where specific crime types impact the area compared to the national average.