Tredegar Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For a town of 13,235 residents, 142 crimes reported in January 2025 equates to a crime rate of 10.7 per 1,000, a figure that is 50.7% above the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. This rate places Tredegar in a distinct position compared to national trends, particularly given the dominance of violent crimes in the local crime picture. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 47.9% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (15.5%) and public order offences (7.8%). These figures suggest a combination of local demographics and environmental factors. The built-up nature of Tredegar, situated within Blaenau Gwent's industrial corridor, may contribute to higher rates of anti-social behaviour and public order issues, while the proximity to larger urban centres could explain the prevalence of violent crimes. Seasonal context also plays a role, with January typically marked by reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours, which may suppress certain types of crime while exacerbating others. The data shows that while shoplifting is significantly below the UK average (84% lower), violent crimes remain high, a pattern that may require targeted interventions. The month's crime profile highlights the need for a nuanced approach to policing, balancing local-specific challenges with broader national strategies.

The most notable month-on-month shift was the 80% decline in shoplifting, which fell from 5 to 1 incident. This drop aligns with seasonal trends, as January typically sees reduced retail activity compared to the festive period. Vehicle crime also decreased by 36.4%, from 11 to 7, a change that may reflect colder weather limiting outdoor activity and potentially reducing opportunities for theft. Conversely, anti-social behaviour increased by 15.8%, rising from 19 to 22 incidents. This uptick could be linked to the post-holiday period, when social tensions sometimes rise. Violent crimes, which constitute 47.9% of all reported incidents, remain 103% above the UK average of 2.5 per 1,000. This stark contrast with the national figure highlights Tredegar's unique challenges, particularly in addressing violence and sexual offences. The data also shows that shoplifting is 84% below the UK average, a rare positive deviation that may indicate effective local deterrents in retail areas.

In January 2025, Tredegar's crime rate fell by 9.5% compared to the previous month, dropping from 11.9 to 10.7 per 1,000 residents. This decline follows a typical post-holiday pattern, with reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours potentially curbing outdoor crimes. On a daily basis, the area saw an average of 5 crimes reported each day, a figure that reflects the built-up nature of the area and its proximity to Blaenau Gwent's industrial zones. Over the course of the month, 1 in every 93 residents experienced a reported crime, a metric that highlights the concentrated nature of incidents within a relatively small population. This rate, while lower than December, still places Tredegar significantly above the UK average, underscoring the need for continued local policing efforts. The population-scaled perspective reveals that 142 crimes for a town of 13,235 residents is a substantial figure, particularly when considering the proportion of violent crimes that dominate the statistics.