Great Notley Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2024, Great Notley recorded a crime rate of 4.7 per 1,000 residents, placing it 38.2% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. This figure reflects a 39.9% increase from October's rate of 3.4 per 1,000, though the area remains significantly safer than the national benchmark. The most prevalent crimes were vehicle-related incidents (22.9% of total), followed by violence and sexual offences (20.0%) and criminal damage and arson (17.1%). The seasonal context of November, with its dark evenings and events like Bonfire Night, likely influenced these patterns. For instance, vehicle crime may have risen due to increased traffic during shopping periods, while public order offences dropped possibly due to fewer large gatherings. The area's lower crime rate compared to the UK average suggests a combination of effective local policing, community engagement, and the built-up area's character as a relatively quiet residential zone. However, the sharp increase in other theft and anti-social behaviour indicates that localised factors—such as seasonal shopping or transient population movements—may be contributing to the month-on-month shift. The data also shows that certain categories, like violence and sexual offences, fell below the UK average by 61%, reinforcing the area's generally low levels of violent crime. This contrast with the UK's higher rates for categories like public order and anti-social behaviour highlights the importance of context-specific factors in shaping local crime profiles.

November 2024 marked a 39.9% increase in Great Notley's overall crime rate compared to October, driven by sharp rises in specific categories. Other theft, for instance, more than doubled (200% increase) from one to three incidents, a spike likely linked to Black Friday shopping activity. Similarly, anti-social behaviour rose by 100%, with three incidents reported compared to zero in October, possibly tied to Bonfire Night events. Conversely, public order offences fell by 50% (from two to one), suggesting a reduction in disturbances during the month. Vehicle crime remained 150% above the UK average at 1.1 per 1,000, despite a modest 18.2% decrease from October's 1.3 per 1,000. This anomaly may reflect the area's proximity to major roads or transport hubs, which could contribute to higher vehicle-related incidents. Meanwhile, violence and sexual offences dropped by 22.2%, from nine to seven, indicating a seasonal dip in such crimes during the quieter November period.

Great Notley's crime rate in November 2024 rose by 39.9% compared to October's 3.4 per 1,000, reflecting a shift in local patterns. While this increase places the area closer to the UK average, it remains 38.2% below the national figure of 7.6 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area saw roughly one crime per day over the month, a rate that, while low, shows a notable uptick from previous months. Over the course of November, one reported crime occurred for every 211 residents, a monthly exposure rate that highlights the sparse nature of incidents in this built-up area. When scaled to the population of 7,402, this suggests that most residents are unlikely to encounter crime in their daily lives. However, the rise in specific categories like vehicle crime and anti-social behaviour indicates that localised factors may be influencing the shift. The comparison to the UK average reveals a combination of local conditions and broader national trends, with Great Notley maintaining a generally safer profile despite the recent increase.