Great Notley Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

October 2025 saw an unexpected surge in violence and sexual offences in Great Notley, marking the most significant shift in the area’s crime profile this year. With a crime rate of 4.1 per 1,000 residents—46.8% below the UK average of 7.7—the area remains safer than the national average. However, the 150% increase in violent crimes, from six to 15 cases, stands out as a stark anomaly. This rise, occurring against the backdrop of darker evenings and Halloween, may be linked to seasonal factors that influence public gatherings or reduce visibility in certain areas. The breakdown of crimes reveals that violence and sexual offences accounted for 50% of all incidents, followed by drugs (13.3%) and public order (10%). While property crimes remained relatively low, the doubling of burglary and drugs offences highlights a shift toward more severe and complex crime types. The area’s performance in several categories, such as anti-social behaviour (92% below the UK average) and shoplifting (52% below), underscores its generally low crime environment. Yet the surge in violence raises questions about local dynamics, possibly tied to the area’s built-up nature within Braintree, where population density and community interactions may contribute to such spikes. Seasonal transitions, such as the clocks going back and the onset of colder weather, could also play a role in increasing incidents of violence. Overall, the data illustrates a community that, despite its low crime rate, faces a notable challenge in managing the sudden rise in violent offences.

The most striking shift in October was the 150% rise in violence and sexual offences, surging from six to 15 cases. This jump, though still 25% below the UK average for this category, raises questions about local factors. Concurrently, burglary and drugs offences both doubled compared to the previous month, with drugs offences reaching 4 cases—a rate 79% above the UK average. Anti-social behaviour and criminal damage and arson saw significant declines, falling by 83.3% and 75% respectively. The contrast between these trends highlights a shift toward more severe crimes, with property crimes now accounting for only 26.7% of total incidents, compared to 50% in violent crimes. For residents, the doubling of burglary cases may signal increased risk in specific areas. The drugs category’s UK comparison—79% above the national average—suggests a localized issue that warrants further scrutiny.

Great Notley’s crime rate in October 2025 rose by 30.2% compared to the previous month, climbing from 3.1 to 4.1 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though still well below the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000, reflects a shift in local patterns. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly one crime per day over the 31-day period—a figure that, while low, suggests consistent activity in specific categories. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 247 residents, illustrating the scale of exposure for the population of 7,402. This monthly aggregate provides a broader context for residents, showing that the likelihood of experiencing crime remains relatively low compared to national benchmarks. The population-scaled perspective reinforces that Great Notley continues to perform significantly better than the UK average, despite the month-on-month rise.