Pencoed Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

July 2023 marked a 10% decrease in Pencoed's overall crime rate, bringing it to 5.4 per 1,000 residents — 34.9% below the UK average of 8.3. This decline, though modest, aligns with broader seasonal trends typical of summer months in built-up areas like Pencoed, where school closures and increased tourism may influence crime patterns. The top three crime types — violence and sexual offences (37%), public order offences (25.9%), and anti-social behaviour (9.3%) — reflect a mix of persistent challenges and seasonal dynamics. Violence and sexual offences, though down from June, remain the most prevalent category, potentially linked to the area's proximity to Bridgend's urban centres and the social interactions that occur during summer festivals. Public order offences, however, stand out as significantly higher than the UK average, with 14 cases reported — 126% above the national benchmark of 0.6 per 1,000. This discrepancy may be attributed to Pencoed's role as a hub for local events or its built-up character, which could amplify incidents of disorder. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour and criminal damage rates are both below the UK average, suggesting that community-specific factors, such as local policing or resident engagement, may contribute to these lower figures. The month's data also highlights a shift in the crime mix, with property crimes (15 cases) accounting for 27.8% of total incidents, compared to 37% for violent crimes — a balance that may reflect the seasonal focus on outdoor spaces and public gatherings. As the summer continues, these trends will likely be shaped by the interplay between local initiatives, resident behaviour, and the area's geographic and social context.

July 2023 saw a 37.5% decrease in violent and sexual offences, dropping from 32 to 20 cases — a shift that may partly explain the overall rate's decline. This reduction aligns with seasonal patterns typical of summer months, when schools are out and public spaces are more populated, potentially deterring certain types of crime. Conversely, shoplifting and other theft crimes rose sharply, with both categories increasing by 100% compared to June, suggesting a possible link to seasonal retail activity or increased foot traffic during festivals. Public order offences, at 14 cases, remain 126% above the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000, indicating a persistent challenge in managing disturbances in Pencoed's public spaces. These fluctuations highlight how specific crime types respond to local rhythms, such as the peak of summer tourism and events, which may influence both opportunities for and deterrents to criminal activity.

Pencoed's July 2023 crime rate of 5.4 per 1,000 residents marks a 10% decrease from June's 6.0 per 1,000, reflecting a continued downward trend in overall crime. This monthly rate translates to roughly two crimes reported per day in the area — a figure that, while seemingly frequent, remains significantly lower than the UK average when scaled to Pencoed's population of 10,015. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 185 residents, a ratio that underscores the relatively low frequency of incidents compared to broader national trends. This monthly exposure is particularly notable when contrasted with the UK's higher average, though local factors such as Pencoed's built-up area status and proximity to Bridgend's infrastructure likely contribute to the disparity. The population-scaled perspective also highlights that Pencoed's crime profile is shaped by its unique demographic and geographic context, which may differ from larger urban or rural regions.