Pencoed Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Pencoed’s crime rate in October 2024 stood at 7.4 per 1,000 residents, placing it 8.6% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This figure reflects a combination of local factors and seasonal dynamics. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 43.2% of all reported incidents—nearly half of the total. Anti-social behaviour followed closely at 20.3%, with public order offences contributing 10.8%. These patterns align with Pencoed’s character as a built-up area within Bridgend, where community interactions and local amenities may influence social disorder. The month of October, marked by the clocks going back and darker evenings, likely contributes to increased incidents of anti-social behaviour and public order issues, as visibility decreases and Halloween activities heighten community engagement. While violent crime rates in Pencoed (3.2 per 1,000) are 20% above the UK average for this category, property crime rates remain lower, with shoplifting and vehicle crime both significantly below national levels. This suggests a balance between localised social challenges and effective community policing or environmental design that deters certain types of crime. The seasonal context of October—transitioning from autumn to winter—may also play a role in shaping crime patterns, though further analysis would be required to confirm direct causal links.

October 2024 saw dramatic shifts in specific crime categories, with bicycle theft, vehicle crime, and burglary each rising by 100% compared to the previous month. These increases, from zero to one incident in each category, highlight unusual spikes that may reflect seasonal factors, such as the return of university students or changes in local transportation patterns. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 50%, dropping from four to two incidents—a decline that could indicate successful policing initiatives or reduced foot traffic during October. The crime mix in Pencoed also showed marked differences compared to the UK average: violent crime rates were 20% above the national benchmark, while public order offences were 43% higher. This contrast with property crime, where shoplifting was 72% below the UK average and vehicle crime was 79% below, suggests a localised focus on certain types of crime. For residents, the 100% increase in burglary—though limited to a single incident—may raise concerns about home security, particularly in areas with increased absenteeism during the autumn months. These swings underscore the importance of targeted crime prevention strategies that address both rising and declining trends in specific categories.

Pencoed’s crime rate in October 2024 rose by 37.1% compared to the previous month, increasing from 5.4 per 1,000 to 7.4 per 1,000. This upward trend, though still below the UK average, indicates a notable shift in local crime dynamics. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately two crimes per day in October—a figure that, while modest, reflects the cumulative impact of individual incidents over the month. When considered on a monthly scale, the crime rate translates to one reported incident for roughly every 135 residents, a measure that provides context for the frequency of crime relative to the population. With a population of 10,015, this statistic highlights the proportion of residents affected by crime each month, though it does not account for variations in individual exposure. The comparison to the UK average underscores Pencoed’s relatively safer profile, particularly in property crime categories such as shoplifting and vehicle crime, which are significantly below national rates. However, the higher-than-average rates of violent crime and public order offences suggest areas for targeted intervention. These figures, when viewed alongside the month-on-month increases, indicate a need for continuous monitoring and adaptive policing strategies to address emerging trends while maintaining the area’s overall low crime profile.