Pencoed Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

July 2025 marked a combination of stability and change in Pencoed's crime profile. The overall crime rate of 5.1 per 1,000 residents, 40.7% below the UK average, reflects a continued trend of lower-than-national-level incidents. This rate, though slightly higher than June's 4.3, remains in a historically low bracket for the area. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences (39.2% of total), followed by criminal damage and arson (9.8%) and other theft (9.8%). This distribution is noteworthy, as it contrasts with typical UK patterns where property crime often dominates. The summer season likely influenced these trends: with schools out, festivals, and tourism peaks, the area experienced heightened social activity that may have contributed to the elevated share of violent crimes. However, the absence of a significant spike in property-related offences—despite the usual summer increase in shoplifting—suggests that local factors, such as effective policing or community initiatives, may be mitigating risks. The UK average comparison is particularly telling: Pencoed's violent crime rate is 34% below the national figure, a divergence that may stem from the area's status as a built-up part of Bridgend, where infrastructure and population density could shape different crime dynamics. Seasonal context also plays a role, as the summer months typically see fluctuations in crime types, with public order offences and anti-social behaviour often rising. Yet in July, these categories were low, with public order incidents at 9.8% of total crimes and anti-social behaviour at just 3.9%. This anomaly might indicate successful community engagement or targeted interventions during the summer period, though further analysis would be needed to confirm. The overall picture suggests a place where crime rates are consistently below national averages, but with month-on-month fluctuations that require careful monitoring.

July 2025 saw a sharp increase in three crime categories: other crime, burglary, and robbery, each doubling from zero or one incident in June to two. This jump, though small in absolute terms, suggests potential shifts in criminal activity or reporting practices. Conversely, vehicle crime fell by 62.5%, from eight to three incidents, possibly reflecting seasonal changes in car usage or targeted prevention efforts. The balance between property and violent crimes remained strikingly even, with 20 each, a rarity in UK crime statistics. Violent crimes in Pencoed were 34% below the UK average, with 2.0 per 1,000 residents compared to the national 3.0. This divergence may be partly explained by the area's built-up character within Bridgend, where community engagement and local policing could contribute to lower violence rates. The increase in 'other crime'—which includes unclassified incidents—presents a puzzle, as it rose 100% without clear contextual links to seasonal factors or specific crime types.

Pencoed's crime rate in July 2025 rose by 18.6% compared to June, moving from 4.3 to 5.1 per 1,000 residents. This shift, while still well below the UK average, signals a notable uptick in reported incidents. On a daily basis, the area saw an average of 2 crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that translates to roughly one reported crime for every 196 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate, while low by national standards, reflects a concentrated pattern of incidents during July. The population context is critical: with 10,015 residents, the area's crime volume remains manageable, but the increase from the previous month warrants scrutiny. Residents may find the daily crime count particularly useful for understanding local patterns, though such figures can fluctuate with seasonal activity. The contrast with the UK average remains stark, with Pencoed's overall rate 40.7% below the national figure, suggesting structural differences in policing, demographics, or community dynamics that continue to influence local crime trends.