Horsford Crime Rate February 2024 | Monthly Statistics

February 2024 presented a strikingly low crime profile for Horsford, with an overall rate of 2.1 crimes per 1,000 residents — 70.4% below the UK average. This figure, the lowest recorded for the area in recent months, aligns with the seasonal context of a winter lull and reduced outdoor activity. The top crime categories were violence and sexual offences (50% of total incidents), followed by other theft (16.7%) and criminal damage and arson (16.7%). The dominance of violent crime over property crime is notable, with the former accounting for 6 out of 12 total incidents. This shift may reflect local factors, such as the built-up nature of the area and the potential influence of small-scale community interactions. The seasonal context of February as a pre-spring lull could contribute to the low overall crime rate, though the absence of major public events or high-traffic periods makes this a tentative observation. The UK comparison is particularly stark: Horsford's rate for violence and sexual offences is 60% below the national average, suggesting a uniquely safe environment for this category. However, the relatively higher rate of possession of weapons (186% above UK average) introduces a cautionary note, though the small number of incidents (1) limits the significance of this deviation. The low crime rate, combined with the built-up character of the area, suggests a community where crime prevention measures may be effective, though further analysis is needed to confirm this hypothesis.

February 2024 saw a marked decline in violent crime, with violence and sexual offences dropping by 53.8% compared to January. This decrease, from 13 to 6 incidents, is the most significant month-on-month change and suggests a potential shift in local dynamics. The reduction in criminal damage and arson by 33.3% (from 3 to 2 incidents) further supports the idea of a broader trend toward reduced criminal activity. Horsford's rate for violence and sexual offences is 60% below the UK average, a stark contrast to the 186% increase in possession of weapons compared to the national figure. While the latter category remains a small portion of total crimes (8.3%), its deviation from the UK average raises questions about local factors. For residents, the most immediately relevant insight is the 53.8% drop in violent crime, which may reflect seasonal patterns or community-based deterrents. The shift in crime mix from property to violent offences also highlights the need for tailored policing strategies in this built-up area.

Horsford's crime rate in February 2024 fell to 2.1 per 1,000 residents, marking a 53.9% decrease from the previous month's rate of 4.5 per 1,000. This sharp decline suggests a continued trend toward reduced criminal activity, though the pace of change may reflect seasonal patterns. Locally, the average daily crime count in February was effectively zero, with 12 total crimes spread over 29 days. This translates to a monthly exposure rate of one reported crime for every 479 residents, a figure that underscores the relatively low risk of experiencing crime in this area. When contextualised against the population of 5,745, the numbers suggest that most residents are unlikely to encounter crime during a typical month. However, the consistency of this low level of crime remains notable, particularly given the absence of major infrastructure or high-traffic areas that might otherwise contribute to higher rates. The comparison to the UK average is stark: Horsford's rate is 70.4% below the national average, a gap that persists despite the month-on-month fluctuations.