Flackwell Heath and Wooburn Green Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Flackwell Heath and Wooburn Green recorded a crime rate of 5.9 per 1,000 residents in October 2025, placing the area 23.4% below the UK average of 7.7. This figure, though lower than the national benchmark, reflects a combination of local conditions and seasonal influences. The most common crime category remained violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 29.3% of the total, followed closely by anti-social behaviour and other theft. These patterns align with the area’s character as a built-up district within Buckinghamshire, where community dynamics and local infrastructure may contribute to specific crime trends. The seasonal context of October—marked by the transition to darker evenings, the approach of Halloween, and the end of the summer tourist season—may have influenced both the frequency and type of reported crimes. For instance, the increase in violence and sexual offences could be partially explained by the social activities associated with Halloween. Similarly, the relatively high rate of 'other theft' compared to the UK average may indicate vulnerabilities in local retail or residential security that warrant further examination. The area’s crime profile also highlights a consistent underperformance in vehicle crime and shoplifting relative to national figures, suggesting that targeted interventions in these areas could yield significant benefits. While the overall crime rate remains low compared to the UK average, the month-on-month changes observed in October 2025 indicate the need for continuous monitoring of emerging trends.

The month-on-month changes in October 2025 reveal a mix of rising and falling crime types, with burglary and shoplifting both doubling compared to September. This increase, though sharp, was offset by a 33.3% decline in drug-related crimes, which had previously accounted for a significant portion of the area’s monthly total. The category of 'other theft' remained 54% above the UK average, a persistent outlier that may reflect local economic conditions or patterns of opportunistic crime. Meanwhile, vehicle crime rose by two-thirds, a trend that could be linked to seasonal factors such as increased nighttime activity or changes in commuting patterns. The decrease in criminal damage and arson by 10% offers a counterpoint to the overall upward trend. For residents, the most immediate concern appears to be the doubling of burglary cases, a shift that may warrant closer attention to local security measures. The data also shows that violence and sexual offences, while remaining the most common category, are 36% below the UK average, a consistent feature of the area’s crime profile.

October 2025 saw a slight upward trend in the area’s crime rate, rising from 5.5 to 5.9 per 1,000 residents compared to the previous month. This 8.8% increase, though modest, reflects a shift in crime patterns that may be influenced by seasonal factors such as the transition to shorter evenings and the approach of Halloween. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly two crimes per day, a figure that provides a tangible sense of the local crime profile. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 168 residents, a ratio that places the area well below the UK average in terms of exposure. This monthly aggregate suggests that, despite the rise, the overall risk to individuals remains comparatively low. The population of 12,632 means that even small changes in crime numbers can translate to noticeable shifts in local statistics, though the current rate still sits 23.4% below the national average. These figures highlight the importance of contextualising crime rates against both local and national benchmarks to avoid overestimating or underestimating the significance of month-on-month fluctuations.