Crime Statistics

Aberbargoed Crime Rate

+27.8%year-over-year

Crime is increasing and HIGH in Aberbargoed

Discover Aberbargoed's crime rate of 133.8 per 1,000 residents and a safety score of 68/100. Get detailed statistics and local comparisons.

Overall Crime Rate

133.8
Crimes per 1,000 people
increasing trend

Property Crime Rate

31.7
Property crimes per 1,000 people
Includes burglary, theft, vandalism

How Aberbargoed Compares to UK Average

Overall Crime:133.8vs 93.4 UK avg
+40.4 per 1,000 people
Property Crime:31.7vs 33.2 UK avg
-1.5 per 1,000 people

Aberbargoed's crime rate is significantly higher than UK average

Based on population of 3,885 over 12 months

Crime Statistics Summary for Aberbargoed

Data last updated: September 2025. Source: Police.uk, ONS, Home Office.

Crime rates per 1,000 people in Aberbargoed
Overall Crime Rate133.8 per 1,000 people
Property Crime Rate31.7 per 1,000 people
UK Average Crime Rate93.4 per 1,000 people
UK Average Property Crime Rate33.2 per 1,000 people
Safety Score68 out of 100
Population3,885
Trendincreasing
Comparisonsignificantly higher than UK average
Crime Breakdown by Type in Aberbargoed
Crime TypeTotal CountPer 1,000 PeoplePercentage of Total
Violence and sexual offences2025239%
Anti-social behaviour8622.117%
Public order661713%
Criminal damage and arson5714.711%
Other theft246.25%
Vehicle crime215.44%
Other crime205.24%
Burglary184.63%
Drugs123.12%
Possession of weapons112.82%
Robbery20.50%
Bicycle theft10.30%

Introduction to Crime in Aberbargoed

Aberbargoed experiences an overall crime rate of 133.8 per 1,000 residents annually, placing it significantly above the UK average of 93.4 per 1,000. The area's safety is reflected in a score of 68 out of 100, placing it below the national average of 78. Over the past year, crime in Aberbargoed has shown a negative trend, increasing significantly by 27.8% compared to the previous 12-month period. This introduction sets the context for a more detailed examination of crime patterns and trends within the area.

Aberbargoed Safety Score

68
Moderate
Safety Score out of 100

Aberbargoed's safety score is below the UK average. Protect what matters most with AI that thinks ahead of criminals.

0-20
20-40
40-60
60-80
80-100

Most Common Crimes in Aberbargoed

#1

Violence and sexual offences

Percentage:39%
Per 1,000:52
Total:202
#2

Anti-social behaviour

Percentage:17%
Per 1,000:22.1
Total:86
#3

Public order

Percentage:13%
Per 1,000:17
Total:66
#4

Criminal damage and arson

Percentage:11%
Per 1,000:14.7
Total:57
#5

Other theft

Percentage:5%
Per 1,000:6.2
Total:24

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Crime Type Analysis in Aberbargoed

Analysing crime types in Aberbargoed reveals that Violence and sexual offences are the most prevalent, accounting for 38.9% of all reported incidents at a rate of 52.0 per 1,000 residents. Anti-social behaviour follows as the second most common, making up 16.5% of crimes at 22.1 per 1,000, while Public order offences represent 12.7% at 17.0 per 1,000. Property-related crimes, which include burglary, criminal damage and arson, bicycle theft, vehicle crime, other theft, and shoplifting, collectively stand at 31.7 per 1,000 residents. This figure is slightly below the UK average of 33.2 per 1,000. For residents and homeowners, this breakdown highlights the importance of general awareness regarding personal safety, particularly concerning violence and anti-social behaviour, while also suggesting a moderate comparative risk of property-related offences.

Crime Types Breakdown

Violence and sexual offences
202 incidents (52 per 1,000)
Anti-social behaviour
86 incidents (22.1 per 1,000)
Public order
66 incidents (17 per 1,000)
Criminal damage and arson
57 incidents (14.7 per 1,000)
Other theft
24 incidents (6.2 per 1,000)
Vehicle crime
21 incidents (5.4 per 1,000)
Other crime
20 incidents (5.2 per 1,000)
Burglary
18 incidents (4.6 per 1,000)
Drugs
12 incidents (3.1 per 1,000)
Possession of weapons
11 incidents (2.8 per 1,000)
Robbery
2 incidents (0.5 per 1,000)
Bicycle theft
1 incidents (0.3 per 1,000)

Crime Rate Trend

↓ 97.2% change(over 12 months)
Aberbargoed
UK Average

Compare Aberbargoed with similar populations

Aberbargoed has a 43.3% higher crime rate than the UK average.

Crime Trends in Aberbargoed

Over the last year, Aberbargoed has experienced an increasing crime trend, with a significant rise of 27.8% in its overall crime rate compared to the previous 12-month period. Examining the monthly data, rates fluctuated, with a notable peak in August 2025 at 18.3 crimes per 1,000 residents, and generally remaining between 5.9 and 18.3 per 1,000 for most of the year. The data for September 2025 shows a sharp drop to 0.3 per 1,000, which suggests incomplete reporting for that month. This upward trend indicates a need for residents to remain vigilant and aware of local conditions.

When Do Crimes Happen in Aberbargoed?

Understanding peak crime times helps you stay vigilant and secure your property when it matters most.

Simulated Data

This heatmap shows estimated crime patterns based on Aberbargoed's crime statistics, crime type distribution, and general knowledge of when different crimes typically occur. This is not real historical data for specific times.

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Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Crime Likelihood:
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High

Pro Tip: Burglaries peak on weekday evenings (6pm-midnight) and during work hours (10am-3pm) when homes appear empty. scOS smart security stays alert around the clock — detecting threats instantly, whether you're home or away.

What Types of Crime Happen When in Aberbargoed?

Different crimes occur at different times. This breakdown shows which crime types dominate each time period.

Based on Crime-Type Weighted Model

Morning

6am - 12pm

Other43%
Theft31%
Vehicle Crime16%
Burglary10%
Violence0%

Morning hours see moderate theft and diverse 'other' crimes.

Afternoon

12pm - 6pm

Other40%
Theft35%
Burglary19%
Vehicle Crime6%
Violence0%

Afternoon experiences high theft levels and significant 'other' crimes.

Evening

6pm - 12am

Other61%
Burglary14%
Vehicle Crime14%
Theft11%
Violence0%

Evening crime is dominated by 'other' offences, with reduced theft.

Night

12am - 6am

Other43%
Vehicle Crime35%
Burglary17%
Theft6%
Violence0%

Night sees a rise in vehicle crime and prevalent 'other' incidents.

Simulated Data - Crime-Type Weighted Model

These crime patterns are estimated using the Crime Survey for England and Wales (ONS) time-of-day data, weighted by Aberbargoed's specific crime type distribution from Police.uk. This is not real historical data for specific times in Aberbargoed, but a model-generated estimate based on the area's crime composition and national timing patterns.

Understanding Crime Time Patterns in Aberbargoed

Crime patterns in Aberbargoed show distinct variations throughout the day. Morning hours (6am-12pm) are characterised by a higher proportion of 'other' crimes (43%) and theft (31%), with vehicle crime at 16% and burglary also present at 10%. The afternoon (12pm-6pm) sees theft remain high at 35% and 'other' crimes at 40%, with burglary peaking at 19%. As evening approaches (6pm-12am), 'other' crimes become significantly dominant at 61%, with vehicle crime at 14% and theft reducing to 11%. During the night (12am-6am), vehicle crime rises considerably to 35%, and 'other' crimes remain substantial at 43%, alongside burglary at 17%. This suggests that while daytime sees more opportunistic theft, evenings and nights are more susceptible to different types of offences, including vehicle-related incidents and burglaries.

Crime Rates Near Caerphilly

Blaenau Gwent

4.4 miles

132.9
per 1,000
Very High Risk

Torfaen

7.3 miles

113.5
per 1,000
High Risk

Merthyr Tydfil

7.2 miles

111.2
per 1,000
High Risk

Cardiff

13.2 miles

110.5
per 1,000
High Risk

Rhondda Cynon Taf

9.6 miles

87.2
per 1,000
Moderate Risk

Monmouthshire

14.9 miles

70.3
per 1,000
Low Risk

Crime Rate Risk Levels

Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High

Explore Nearby Areas

Argoed

1.4 miles

47.0
per 1,000
Very Low Risk

Tir-y-berth and Glan-y-nant

1.9 miles

64.3
per 1,000
Low Risk

Markham

1.0 miles

109.9
per 1,000
High Risk

Bargod

0.7 miles

116.5
per 1,000
High Risk

Police Response Times in Aberbargoed

How quickly do police respond to emergencies?

Grade 1 (Immediate)

Emergency 999 calls requiring immediate attendance — crimes in progress, threat to life, or serious injury.

Grade 2 (Priority)

Serious incidents needing prompt response but no immediate threat to life — recent crimes, vulnerable victims.

Grade 1 - Immediate

Emergency Response

N/AActual
Actual
N/A
Target
15 min
UK Average
15 min

Grade 2 - Priority

Priority Response

N/AActual
Actual
N/A
Target
1h
UK Average
1h

Active Officers

3,511

Each = 500 officers

Police Stations

Pending

Station count data is being collected

Why Response Time Matters

The average burglary takes just 8-10 minutes. Even when police respond quickly, burglars are often gone before anyone arrives.

scOS spots trouble the moment it starts — your lights come on, sirens sound, and you get an alert on your phone. Burglars don't stick around when they've lost the element of surprise.

Source: FOI Request

How Does Aberbargoed Compare?

Fradley

21.9
crimes per 1,000 people
83.6% safer than Aberbargoed

Holton le Clay

42.7
crimes per 1,000 people
68.1% safer than Aberbargoed

New Romney

103.8
crimes per 1,000 people
22.4% safer than Aberbargoed

Bramley

33.9
crimes per 1,000 people
74.7% safer than Aberbargoed

Crime Comparison with Nearby Areas

When comparing Aberbargoed with its neighbouring areas, it provides valuable regional context. Bargod, Markham, Argoed, and Tir-y-berth and Glan-y-nant all fall within the broader local authority. While specific crime rates vary between these settlements, understanding the trends across them can offer a more complete picture for residents. Aberbargoed's crime rate of 133.8 per 1,000 places it above some of these adjacent areas, suggesting a need for vigilance, though individual statistics for each should be consulted for direct comparisons.

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Protecting Your Home in Aberbargoed

Given Aberbargoed's property crime rate of 31.7 per 1,000 residents, which is below the UK average, securing your home proactively is a wise consideration. Traditional security methods, such as standard CCTV cameras, often only provide footage after a burglary has occurred. For genuine peace of mind and effective crime prevention, a proactive approach is essential. Systems like scOS utilise AI to detect potential threats at your property boundary, before an intruder even has a chance to break in. This multi-camera intelligence watches all areas simultaneously, learning your routines to distinguish real threats from everyday activity, thereby destroying the element of surprise. The visible presence of professional-grade security makes most burglars move on within 60 seconds, offering a significant deterrent that reactive systems simply cannot match. Investing in such advanced protection ensures you're not just recording crime, but actively preventing it.

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Understanding Our Data

How we source and verify crime information for Aberbargoed

4,392+
Areas Covered
19M+
Crime Records
100%
Official Sources

Understanding the Calculations

The crime rate represents the number of recorded incidents per thousand residents in Aberbargoed. This approach ensures fair comparison regardless of area population size.

Our Information

All statistics come from official government sources: Police.uk provides recorded crime data while the Office for National Statistics supplies population figures. We aggregate data at multiple geographic levels for context.

Formula Used

Crimes per 1k residents = (Total incidents ÷ Population) × 1,000

Our statistics derive entirely from UK government databases:

  • Police.uk — Crime records from territorial police forces across England and Wales (43 total)
  • Office for National Statistics — Population statistics and the Crime Survey for England and Wales
  • Home Office — Nationwide crime data and official policy records
  • FOI Requests — Additional statistics obtained via formal requests to police services
Our system covers 4,392+ areas across England and Wales, including major urban centers, towns, and administrative regions. Data for Greater Manchester is currently unavailable. We refresh statistics immediately when official sources publish updates (generally every 8 weeks) and maintain archives for historical analysis.
Police.ukONSHome OfficeFOI

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0

Last updated: September 2025

New data is released by Police.uk approximately every two months

Spotted incorrect data or something that doesn't look right? Let us know and we'll investigate.

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