Crime Statistics

Abercarn Crime Rate

-17.8%year-over-year

Crime is decreasing and MODERATE in Abercarn

Discover Abercarn's crime rate of 82.5 per 1,000 residents and a safety score of 79/100. Get detailed statistics and local comparisons.

Overall Crime Rate

82.5
Crimes per 1,000 people
decreasing trend

Property Crime Rate

20.6
Property crimes per 1,000 people
Includes burglary, theft, vandalism

How Abercarn Compares to UK Average

Overall Crime:82.5vs 93.4 UK avg
-10.9 per 1,000 people
Property Crime:20.6vs 33.2 UK avg
-12.6 per 1,000 people

Abercarn's crime rate is significantly lower than UK average

Based on population of 5,442 over 12 months

Crime Statistics Summary for Abercarn

Data last updated: September 2025. Source: Police.uk, ONS, Home Office.

Crime rates per 1,000 people in Abercarn
Overall Crime Rate82.5 per 1,000 people
Property Crime Rate20.6 per 1,000 people
UK Average Crime Rate93.4 per 1,000 people
UK Average Property Crime Rate33.2 per 1,000 people
Safety Score79 out of 100
Population5,442
Trenddecreasing
Comparisonsignificantly lower than UK average
Crime Breakdown by Type in Abercarn
Crime TypeTotal CountPer 1,000 PeoplePercentage of Total
Violence and sexual offences1743239%
Anti-social behaviour9918.222%
Public order468.410%
Criminal damage and arson437.910%
Other theft234.25%
Vehicle crime2245%
Burglary183.34%
Drugs91.62%
Other crime81.52%
Shoplifting40.71%
Robbery20.40%
Possession of weapons10.20%

Introduction to Crime in Abercarn

Abercarn experiences an overall crime rate of 82.5 per 1,000 residents annually, placing it below the UK average of 93.4 per 1,000. The area's safety is reflected in a high score of 79 out of 100, placing it above the national average of 78. Over the past year, crime in Abercarn has shown a positive trend, decreasing significantly by 17.8% compared to the previous 12-month period. This introduction sets the context for a more detailed examination of crime patterns and trends within the area.

Abercarn Safety Score

79
Safe
Safety Score out of 100

Abercarn has a relatively good safety score compared to the UK average (78).

0-20
20-40
40-60
60-80
80-100

Most Common Crimes in Abercarn

#1

Violence and sexual offences

Percentage:39%
Per 1,000:32
Total:174
#2

Anti-social behaviour

Percentage:22%
Per 1,000:18.2
Total:99
#3

Public order

Percentage:10%
Per 1,000:8.4
Total:46
#4

Criminal damage and arson

Percentage:10%
Per 1,000:7.9
Total:43
#5

Other theft

Percentage:5%
Per 1,000:4.2
Total:23

Protect Against These Threats

scOS security systems are designed to detect and deter the most common crimes in your area, providing 24/7 autonomous protection.

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Crime Type Analysis in Abercarn

Analysing crime types in Abercarn reveals that Violence and sexual offences are the most prevalent, accounting for 38.8% of all reported incidents at a rate of 32.0 per 1,000 residents. Anti-social behaviour follows as the second most common, making up 22.1% of crimes at 18.2 per 1,000, while Public order offences represent 10.2% at 8.4 per 1,000. Property-related crimes, which include burglary, criminal damage and arson, vehicle crime, other theft, and shoplifting, collectively stand at 20.6 per 1,000 residents. This figure is significantly below the UK average of 33.2 per 1,000. For residents and homeowners, this breakdown highlights the importance of general awareness regarding personal safety, particularly concerning violence and anti-social behaviour, while also suggesting a lower comparative risk of property-related offences.

Crime Types Breakdown

Violence and sexual offences
174 incidents (32 per 1,000)
Anti-social behaviour
99 incidents (18.2 per 1,000)
Public order
46 incidents (8.4 per 1,000)
Criminal damage and arson
43 incidents (7.9 per 1,000)
Other theft
23 incidents (4.2 per 1,000)
Vehicle crime
22 incidents (4 per 1,000)
Burglary
18 incidents (3.3 per 1,000)
Drugs
9 incidents (1.6 per 1,000)
Other crime
8 incidents (1.5 per 1,000)
Shoplifting
4 incidents (0.7 per 1,000)
Robbery
2 incidents (0.4 per 1,000)
Possession of weapons
1 incidents (0.2 per 1,000)

Crime Rate Trend

↑ 88.6% change(over 11 months)
Abercarn
UK Average

Compare Abercarn with similar populations

Abercarn has a 11.7% lower crime rate than the UK average.

Crime Trends in Abercarn

Over the last year, Abercarn has experienced a decreasing crime trend, with a significant reduction of 17.8% in its overall crime rate compared to the previous 12-month period. Examining the monthly data, rates fluctuated, with a notable peak in May 2025 at 9.7 crimes per 1,000 residents, and generally remaining between 4.4 and 9.7 per 1,000 for most of the year. This sustained downward trend indicates an improving safety profile for residents, suggesting a more secure environment compared to the previous year.

When Do Crimes Happen in Abercarn?

Understanding peak crime times helps you stay vigilant and secure your property when it matters most.

Simulated Data

This heatmap shows estimated crime patterns based on Abercarn's crime statistics, crime type distribution, and general knowledge of when different crimes typically occur. This is not real historical data for specific times.

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3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
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12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Crime Likelihood:
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High

Pro Tip: Burglaries peak on weekday evenings (6pm-midnight) and during work hours (10am-3pm) when homes appear empty. scOS smart security stays alert around the clock — detecting threats instantly, whether you're home or away.

What Types of Crime Happen When in Abercarn?

Different crimes occur at different times. This breakdown shows which crime types dominate each time period.

Based on Crime-Type Weighted Model

Morning

6am - 12pm

Other36%
Theft34%
Vehicle Crime16%
Burglary13%
Violence0%

Morning hours see moderate theft and diverse 'other' crimes.

Afternoon

12pm - 6pm

Theft38%
Other33%
Burglary23%
Vehicle Crime6%
Violence0%

Afternoon experiences high theft levels and notable burglary.

Evening

6pm - 12am

Other55%
Burglary18%
Vehicle Crime15%
Theft13%
Violence0%

Evening crime is dominated by 'other' offences, with reduced theft.

Night

12am - 6am

Vehicle Crime36%
Other36%
Burglary22%
Theft6%
Violence0%

Night sees a rise in vehicle crime and significant burglary activity.

Simulated Data - Crime-Type Weighted Model

These crime patterns are estimated using the Crime Survey for England and Wales (ONS) time-of-day data, weighted by Abercarn's specific crime type distribution from Police.uk. This is not real historical data for specific times in Abercarn, but a model-generated estimate based on the area's crime composition and national timing patterns.

Understanding Crime Time Patterns in Abercarn

Crime patterns in Abercarn show distinct variations throughout the day. Morning hours (6am-12pm) are characterised by a higher proportion of theft (34%) and 'other' crimes (36%), with vehicle crime at 16% and burglary also present at 13%. The afternoon (12pm-6pm) sees theft remain high at 38% and 'other' crimes at 33%, with burglary peaking at 23%. As evening approaches (6pm-12am), 'other' crimes become significantly dominant at 55%, with theft reducing to 13% and vehicle crime at 15%. During the night (12am-6am), vehicle crime rises considerably to 36%, and 'other' crimes remain substantial at 36%, alongside burglary at 22%. This suggests that while daytime sees more opportunistic theft, evenings and nights are more susceptible to different types of offences, including vehicle-related incidents and burglaries.

Crime Rates Near Caerphilly

Blaenau Gwent

7.7 miles

132.9
per 1,000
Very High Risk

Newport

11.0 miles

122.5
per 1,000
Very High Risk

Torfaen

4.9 miles

113.5
per 1,000
High Risk

Merthyr Tydfil

12.2 miles

111.2
per 1,000
High Risk

Cardiff

10.8 miles

110.5
per 1,000
High Risk

Rhondda Cynon Taf

12.3 miles

87.2
per 1,000
Moderate Risk

Crime Rate Risk Levels

Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High

Explore Nearby Areas

Pontllanfraith

2.7 miles

69.8
per 1,000
Low Risk

Newbridge

1.8 miles

85.0
per 1,000
Moderate Risk

Risca

2.1 miles

102.5
per 1,000
High Risk

Swffryd

2.5 miles

102.8
per 1,000
High Risk

Police Response Times in Abercarn

How quickly do police respond to emergencies?

Grade 1 (Immediate)

Emergency 999 calls requiring immediate attendance — crimes in progress, threat to life, or serious injury.

Grade 2 (Priority)

Serious incidents needing prompt response but no immediate threat to life — recent crimes, vulnerable victims.

Grade 1 - Immediate

Emergency Response

N/AActual
Actual
N/A
Target
15 min
UK Average
15 min

Grade 2 - Priority

Priority Response

N/AActual
Actual
N/A
Target
1h
UK Average
1h

Active Officers

1,549

Each = 500 officers

Police Stations

Pending

Station count data is being collected

Why Response Time Matters

The average burglary takes just 8-10 minutes. Even when police respond quickly, burglars are often gone before anyone arrives.

scOS spots trouble the moment it starts — your lights come on, sirens sound, and you get an alert on your phone. Burglars don't stick around when they've lost the element of surprise.

Source: FOI Request

How Does Abercarn Compare?

Carbis Bay

45.9
crimes per 1,000 people
44.4% safer than Abercarn

Cookham

37.1
crimes per 1,000 people
55.0% safer than Abercarn

Odiham

37.4
crimes per 1,000 people
54.7% safer than Abercarn

Huthwaite

94.8
crimes per 1,000 people
14.9% higher than Abercarn

Crime Comparison with Nearby Areas

When comparing Abercarn with its neighbouring areas, it provides valuable regional context. Newbridge, Risca, Swffryd, and Pontllanfraith all fall within the broader local authority. While specific crime rates vary between these settlements, understanding the trends across them can offer a more complete picture for residents. Abercarn's crime rate of 82.5 per 1,000 places it below some of these adjacent areas, suggesting a relatively safer profile, though individual statistics for each should be consulted for direct comparisons.

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Zero false alarms

Traditional CCTV

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  • •Hope police can use the footage

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Protecting Your Home in Abercarn

Given Abercarn's property crime rate of 20.6 per 1,000 residents, which is well below the UK average, securing your home proactively remains a sensible consideration. Traditional security methods, such as standard CCTV cameras, often only provide footage after a burglary has occurred. For genuine peace of mind and effective crime prevention, a proactive approach is essential. Systems like scOS utilise AI to detect potential threats at your property boundary, before an intruder even has a chance to break in. This multi-camera intelligence watches all areas simultaneously, learning your routines to distinguish real threats from everyday activity, thereby destroying the element of surprise. The visible presence of professional-grade security makes most burglars move on within 60 seconds, offering a significant deterrent that reactive systems simply cannot match. Investing in such advanced protection ensures you're not just recording crime, but actively preventing it.

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Understanding Our Data

How we source and verify crime information for Abercarn

4,392+
Areas Covered
19M+
Crime Records
100%
Official Sources

Understanding the Calculations

The crime rate represents the number of recorded incidents per thousand residents in Abercarn. This approach ensures fair comparison regardless of area population size.

Our Information

All statistics come from official government sources: Police.uk provides recorded crime data while the Office for National Statistics supplies population figures. We aggregate data at multiple geographic levels for context.

Formula Used

Crimes per 1k residents = (Total incidents ÷ Population) × 1,000

Our statistics derive entirely from UK government databases:

  • Police.uk — Crime records from territorial police forces across England and Wales (43 total)
  • Office for National Statistics — Population statistics and the Crime Survey for England and Wales
  • Home Office — Nationwide crime data and official policy records
  • FOI Requests — Additional statistics obtained via formal requests to police services
Our system covers 4,392+ areas across England and Wales, including major urban centers, towns, and administrative regions. Data for Greater Manchester is currently unavailable. We refresh statistics immediately when official sources publish updates (generally every 8 weeks) and maintain archives for historical analysis.
Police.ukONSHome OfficeFOI

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0

Last updated: September 2025

New data is released by Police.uk approximately every two months

Spotted incorrect data or something that doesn't look right? Let us know and we'll investigate.

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