Abertridwr and Senghenydd Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Abertridwr and Senghenydd’s crime rate in November 2023 stood at 6.6 per 1,000 residents, 12% below the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000. This figure places the area within a relatively safer bracket compared to the national trend, though the local profile of crime remains distinct. The most prevalent category was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 41.9% of all crimes—slightly above the UK average for this category. This suggests that the area’s built-up nature, with its mix of residential and commercial zones, may contribute to a higher concentration of violent incidents, particularly during darker evenings and in areas with high foot traffic. The second most common category was criminal damage and arson, which rose sharply to 8 incidents, or 1.2 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 103% above the UK average for this type of crime. This spike may be tied to seasonal factors such as Bonfire Night, which often sees an uptick in pyrotechnic-related incidents in built-up areas. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour fell by 57.1%, from seven to three incidents, a decline that may reflect the impact of local policing efforts or changes in community dynamics during the month. The seasonal context of November, with its darker evenings and the proximity of Black Friday shopping, likely influenced patterns in categories such as other theft, which saw a 300% increase. These trends underscore the interplay between local geography, population density, and seasonal events in shaping the crime profile of Abertridwr and Senghenydd.

The month-on-month changes in November 2023 reveal a combination of crime trends. Other theft saw a dramatic 300% increase, rising from one incident to four, a shift that may be linked to the timing of Black Friday shopping and heightened opportunities for opportunistic crimes in commercial areas. This surge contrasts with the 57.1% decline in anti-social behaviour, which fell from seven to three incidents—a reduction that could reflect the impact of local initiatives or seasonal changes in public activity. Drug-related offences also doubled, from zero to two incidents, a small but notable increase that may indicate shifts in illicit activity patterns. Meanwhile, the 60% rise in criminal damage and arson, reaching eight incidents, places the area 103% above the UK average for this category. This spike may be influenced by factors such as the timing of Bonfire Night, which often sees an uptick in pyrotechnic-related incidents in built-up areas. The 20% decrease in vehicle crime, from five to four incidents, suggests a potential correlation with seasonal changes in parking habits or increased community awareness during the festive period. These variations highlight the uneven impact of November’s seasonal dynamics on different crime types, with property-related offences showing greater volatility than violent crimes.

The slight 2.2% decrease in Abertridwr and Senghenydd’s crime rate to 6.6 per 1,000 residents in November 2023, compared to 6.8 per 1,000 in the previous month, indicates a minor but meaningful stabilisation in local crime patterns. This reduction, though modest, aligns with broader seasonal trends observed in built-up areas where crime rates often dip slightly as the year ends. On a daily basis, the area recorded one crime per day over the 30-day period, a figure that translates to a tangible but manageable level of activity for a community of 6,477 residents. When scaled to the population, this equates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 151 residents over the course of the month, a statistic that contextualises the impact of crime within the local demographic. This monthly exposure rate, while low, underscores the importance of sustained community vigilance and policing efforts. The built-up nature of the area, with its mix of residential and commercial zones, likely influences the distribution of crime types, as seen in the higher-than-average rates for criminal damage and arson. These factors, combined with the area’s proximity to major transport routes and retail hubs, create a unique microcosm of crime dynamics that differ from both rural and more densely populated urban centres.