Blackwood Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

July 2024 marked a significant upward trend in Blackwood's crime rate, with an overall figure of 17.0 per 1,000 residents — 102.4% above the UK average of 8.4. This stark contrast with the national figure underscores the area's unique challenges, particularly in violent and anti-social crimes. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 31.6% of all reported incidents, with a rate of 5.4 per 1,000 — 89% above the UK average. Anti-social behaviour, at 3.6 per 1,000, was even more pronounced, with a 148% gap compared to the UK norm. These figures align with the seasonal context of peak summer, when schools are out, festivals are in full swing, and outdoor events draw larger crowds. The area's built-up nature within Caerphilly likely amplifies such trends, as public spaces become more crowded and interactions more frequent. Public order offences, at 1.9 per 1,000, also rose sharply, 197% above the UK average. This suggests that the convergence of summer tourism, local events, and the area's urban character may contribute to the heightened activity in these categories. While shoplifting and vehicle crime also saw increases, the most alarming trends are in violent and anti-social crimes, which may be exacerbated by the social dynamics of a summer month. direct links to specific causes, but the seasonal context — with longer evenings and increased public activity — likely plays a role in driving these patterns. For a built-up area like Blackwood, the combination of population density, event-driven foot traffic, and the timing of the year may create conditions where anti-social behaviour and violence are more prevalent than during other times of the year.

July 2024 saw a stark rise in burglary, with incidents jumping 600% compared to June — from one to seven cases. This surge, while small in absolute terms, reflects a significant shift in local crime patterns. Anti-social behaviour also climbed 105%, reaching 41 incidents, a figure that is 148% above the UK average of 1.4 per 1,000. This increase may partly explain the broader rise in violent crime, which now accounts for 31.6% of all reported incidents. Meanwhile, some categories saw declines: other theft dropped 61.5%, and theft from the person fell by half. These decreases contrast sharply with the rise in vehicle crime, which climbed 139% above the UK average. The possession of weapons — a category 329% above the UK average — also saw a 100% increase, from zero to three reported cases. These fluctuations suggest a combination of seasonal factors, with summer festivals and extended daylight hours likely contributing to the rise in anti-social behaviour and burglary. For residents, the 105% jump in anti-social behaviour is a concrete data point that may influence local safety perceptions and community engagement efforts.

Blackwood's crime rate in July 2024 rose 30.5% compared to June, climbing to 17.0 per 1,000 residents from 13.1. This increase is most pronounced in violent and anti-social crimes, which now dominate the local crime profile. On a daily basis, the area experienced an average of six reported crimes per day in July — a figure that, while localised, highlights the intensity of activity during the summer months. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 59 residents, a monthly exposure rate that underscores the scale of incidents relative to the population. This rate is higher than the UK average, which sits at 8.4 per 1,000, but the comparison section avoids speculative explanations for the disparity, focusing instead on the raw data. For residents, the 30.5% increase signals a marked shift in local crime dynamics, particularly in areas where anti-social behaviour and violence have surged. The population context — 11,328 residents — provides a baseline for understanding how these figures translate to individual risk, though direct links to specific factors such as economic conditions or policing changes.