Blackwood Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences in Blackwood during January 2025 were 99% above the UK average, marking the most significant outlier in the area's crime profile. With a total crime rate of 15.5 per 1,000 residents—more than double the UK's 7.1 per 1,000—the built-up area within Caerphilly faces a starkly elevated risk compared to national benchmarks. The breakdown reveals that violence and sexual offences (57 incidents) accounted for 32.6% of all crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (44 incidents, 25.1%) and shoplifting (21 incidents, 12.0%). These figures suggest a combination of local demographics and environmental factors, though the post-holiday period in January—characterised by reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours—may contribute to patterns observed. The area's crime profile contrasts sharply with the UK average, particularly in violent crime, which was 2.5 per 1,000 nationally but reached 5.0 per 1,000 in Blackwood. Anti-social behaviour, at 3.9 per 1,000, was also 298% above the UK average of 1.0 per 1,000. While shoplifting and criminal damage rates exceeded national figures by 206% and 194% respectively, vehicle crime remained 27% below the UK average. This divergence highlights the need for targeted interventions in high-risk categories while acknowledging areas where local efforts may be yielding results. The seasonal context of January—shorter days, post-holiday lulls, and reduced outdoor activity—likely influences crime patterns, though the persistence of elevated violent crime suggests deeper systemic factors at play.

January 2025 saw an 110% increase in shoplifting compared to December, with incidents rising from 10 to 21. This sharp jump in retail-related crime, despite reduced footfall during the post-holiday period, may indicate opportunistic behaviour in high-traffic areas or vulnerabilities in local retail security measures. Meanwhile, vehicle crime surged by 200%, climbing from 1 to 3 incidents—a stark contrast to the 27% below UK average recorded nationally. This anomaly suggests either targeted criminal activity or underreporting in previous months. Anti-social behaviour, though still the second most common crime (25.1% of total), decreased by 22.7% compared to December, possibly reflecting seasonal shifts or temporary reductions in public gatherings. The most striking disparity remains in violence and sexual offences, which were 99% above the UK average. While the UK average for this category was 2.5 per 1,000, Blackwood's rate of 5.0 per 1,000 highlights a critical gap in local safety measures. Residents may find the 12.0% increase in shoplifting particularly concerning, as it directly impacts local businesses and consumer confidence. These figures underscore the need for continued focus on violent crime prevention and retail security upgrades, even as some categories show modest declines.

Blackwood's crime rate in January 2025 rose by 10.0% compared to December's 14.0 per 1,000, reaching 15.5 per 1,000—a figure that places the area 118.3% above the UK average. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly 6 crimes per day, equating to one reported crime for every 65 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate, while alarming, must be contextualised within the built-up nature of Blackwood and its proximity to larger urban centres in Caerphilly. The population-scaled perspective reveals that 11,328 residents faced a 15.5% chance of experiencing a crime in January, compared to the UK's 7.1% rate. The 10.0% month-on-month increase was driven by violent crime and anti-social behaviour, which together accounted for 57.7% of all incidents. While the daily crime count provides a snapshot of immediate risk, the monthly aggregate offers a broader view of systemic challenges. The area's elevated crime rate compared to the UK average suggests a need for sustained investment in policing, community engagement, and environmental crime prevention strategies. Residents living in Blackwood may find the 1-in-65 monthly exposure rate particularly relevant, as it underscores the necessity of personal safety measures and localised crime reduction initiatives.