Caerphilly Crime Rate February 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences accounted for 45.3% of all crimes in Caerphilly during February 2023, a rate of 3.6 per 1,000 residents—46% above the UK average of 2.5 per 1,000. This stark divergence from the national picture highlights a significant local challenge, particularly in the context of February’s typically low outdoor activity and pre-spring lull. The overall crime rate of 7.9 per 1,000 residents places Caerphilly 14.5% above the UK average of 6.9 per 1,000, a gap that may partly reflect the area’s urban character and the concentration of violent crime in specific neighbourhoods. Anti-social behaviour (1.5 per 1,000) and public order offences (1.2 per 1,000) also exceeded UK averages by 55% and 111% respectively, suggesting patterns tied to social dynamics or environmental factors. These rates contrast sharply with categories like shoplifting (32% below UK average) and vehicle crime (56% below), which may indicate lower foot traffic in retail zones or fewer parked vehicles in residential areas. Seasonal context aligns with February’s typically muted activity levels, yet the persistence of violent crime suggests underlying socioeconomic or community-specific pressures. The data underscores a need for targeted interventions in areas with high concentrations of violent and anti-social incidents.

February 2023 saw violence and sexual offences dominate the crime profile, with 629 incidents (45.3% of total) at a rate of 3.6 per 1,000—46% above the UK average. This category’s disproportionate share of total crimes may reflect a combination of local demographic factors and seasonal dynamics, such as colder weather reducing outdoor activity but potentially increasing indoor conflict. Anti-social behaviour (260 incidents, 1.5 per 1,000) and public order offences (215 incidents, 1.2 per 1,000) also surged far above national levels, with the latter exceeding the UK average by over 100%. These figures suggest a possible link to community tensions or under-resourced public spaces. Conversely, shoplifting (44 incidents, 0.3 per 1,000) fell 32% below the UK average, due to reduced foot traffic during winter. Residents may find the daily crime count of 50 incidents (1390 total over 28 days) a concrete metric for situational awareness, though this remains higher than the UK average. The stark contrast between violent crime and property-related offences highlights a need for differentiated policing strategies.

Caerphilly’s crime rate of 7.9 per 1,000 in February 2023 translates to 1 reported crime for every 127 residents over the course of the month, a figure that, while locally contextual, underscores the density of incidents in a population of 176,865. This monthly exposure rate is higher than the UK average, which would require a more detailed national breakdown to fully contextualise. The daily crime count of 50 incidents—roughly double the average for many UK areas—suggests a persistent level of activity that may not align with seasonal expectations for a winter month. When compared to the UK average of 6.9 per 1,000, Caerphilly’s 14.5% excess rate points to systemic differences, potentially tied to the area’s urban infrastructure or socioeconomic profile. While the population-scaled perspective reveals a manageable per-resident risk, the concentration of violent and anti-social crimes in specific categories indicates uneven distribution. This contrast with lower rates in property-related offences (e.g. shoplifting and vehicle crime) further complicates the picture, suggesting that local factors—such as community cohesion or policing efficacy—play a critical role in shaping crime trends.