Caerphilly Crime Rate June 2023 | Monthly Statistics

In June 2023, Caerphilly recorded 1,461 crimes, equating to a crime rate of 8.3 per 1,000 residents—2.4% below the UK average of 8.5. This figure, while slightly lower than the national benchmark, underscores the area’s position as a mid-sized urban centre with a combination of social and economic factors influencing crime patterns. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences (43.5% of total), followed by anti-social behaviour (22.7%) and public order offences (12.7%). These figures suggest that interpersonal conflict and disorder remain significant challenges, particularly in densely populated or commercially active areas. The seasonal context of June—marking the beginning of summer and longer daylight hours—may have contributed to the dominance of violent and public order crimes, as increased social interaction and outdoor activity can exacerbate tensions. Property crime rates were comparatively low, with burglary and shoplifting both below UK averages. This contrast may reflect effective policing strategies or demographic characteristics, such as a lower proportion of high-risk retail zones compared to other urban areas. However, the persistent above-average rates for violence and anti-social behaviour indicate that targeted interventions may be necessary to address root causes such as alcohol-fuelled incidents or community disengagement.

June 2023 saw sharp increases in criminal damage and arson, which rose by 100% compared to May, potentially linked to seasonal factors such as increased outdoor activity and warmer weather. Bicycle theft also rose by 25%, a trend that may reflect higher cycling rates during summer months. Conversely, theft from the person fell by two-thirds, and robbery rates halved, due to increased foot traffic and visibility in public spaces. Violence and sexual offences remained significantly above the UK average (23% higher), with 636 incidents reported. This category, which dominates the crime mix (43.5% of total crimes), highlights ongoing concerns in Caerphilly’s public safety landscape. Meanwhile, property crime rates—particularly burglary and shoplifting—remained well below UK averages, suggesting that local efforts in securing commercial areas may be effective.

In June 2023, Caerphilly’s crime rate fell to 8.3 per 1,000 residents, a 6.1% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 8.8. This reduction aligns with a broader seasonal trend, as longer daylight hours and warmer weather often correlate with lower crime rates in urban areas. On a daily basis, 49 crimes were reported in June, translating to roughly one reported crime for every 121 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure figure provides context for residents, showing that while crime is present, the risk remains relatively low compared to the UK average. The population of 176,865 means that each crime affects a small proportion of the community, though concentrated incidents in specific areas—such as anti-social behaviour and violence—may create localized concerns. The decline from May suggests a possible stabilization in crime patterns, though continued monitoring is needed to confirm whether this is a temporary shift or part of a longer-term trend.