Caerphilly Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

November 2023 marked a combination of seasonal and local factors in Caerphilly’s crime profile. The overall crime rate of 8.0 per 1,000 residents placed the area 6.7% above the UK average, a figure that, while modest, highlights persistent challenges in certain categories. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 39.3% of all incidents, with a rate of 3.2 per 1,000—significantly higher than the UK average of 2.6. This overrepresentation of violent crime may reflect the area’s urban core, where high-density housing and late-night social activity create environments conducive to such offences. Anti-social behaviour followed closely, at 1.3 per 1,000, with a 24% gap above the UK average, pointing to ongoing issues with public order in town centres. Seasonal context further shaped these patterns: November’s dark evenings and the timing of Bonfire Night may have amplified incidents of anti-social behaviour, while the Black Friday shopping period likely influenced retail-related crimes. Property crimes accounted for only 28.5% of the total, a lower share than the UK average, suggesting that Caerphilly’s crime profile is more weighted toward interpersonal offences than theft or burglary. This contrast with the national trend could be attributed to the area’s mix of commercial and residential zones, where community policing efforts and local initiatives may have curtailed property crime more effectively.

November 2023 saw one of the most dramatic month-on-month shifts in Caerphilly’s crime profile: possession of weapons surged by 111.1%, rising from 9 to 19 incidents. This jump, though small in absolute terms, signals a notable uptick in a category that typically remains low. Conversely, theft from the person plummeted by 80%, falling from 5 to 1, a decline that may reflect heightened awareness during the Black Friday shopping period. The city’s violent crime category remained high, with violence and sexual offences at 3.2 per 1,000—24% above the UK average of 2.6. This imbalance suggests persistent challenges in addressing public safety in high-traffic areas, particularly during late-night hours. Meanwhile, burglary fell by 50%, from 56 to 28, possibly linked to seasonal changes in home occupancy patterns or increased security measures around the holiday season.

Caerphilly's crime rate in November 2023 fell by 15.4% compared to the previous month, dropping from 9.5 to 8.0 per 1,000 residents. This decline aligns with typical seasonal patterns, as November’s shorter daylight hours and reduced foot traffic during the post-Black Friday period may have dampened opportunities for certain crimes. On a daily basis, 47 crimes were reported each day in November, a figure that, while consistent with local rhythms, remains a key metric for residents assessing local safety. When scaled to the population, the monthly exposure rate of 1 crime per 125 residents offers a tangible sense of risk: over the course of November, the likelihood of a resident experiencing a crime was approximately 0.8%. This rate, though slightly above the UK average, reflects the interplay of local factors such as Caerphilly’s mix of urban and semi-rural areas, where high foot traffic in town centres contrasts with more isolated housing estates.