Caerphilly Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Caerphilly's January 2024 crime profile reveals a pronounced tilt toward violent crime, with 589 incidents reported—nearly 40% of all recorded crimes—compared to 407 property-related offences. This imbalance, which places the area 10.8% above the UK average overall crime rate of 7.4 per 1,000 residents, reflects a pattern consistent with medium-sized urban centres where social and economic factors intersect. Violence and sexual offences (3.3 per 1,000) dominate, significantly outpacing the UK average by 27%, while anti-social behaviour (1.4 per 1,000) and criminal damage (0.9 per 1,000) also exceed national benchmarks by 41% and 58%, respectively. These figures may be influenced by seasonal dynamics, as January typically sees reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours, which could contribute to increased anti-social behaviour and property damage. The area's property crime profile, however, shows a mixed picture: while shoplifting and vehicle crime remain below UK averages, the 75% month-on-month rise in shoplifting suggests vulnerabilities in retail security during the post-holiday period. This contrast between persistent violent crime trends and fluctuating property crime rates raises questions about the effectiveness of local policing strategies and the need for targeted interventions in high-risk areas.

The month-on-month data reveals a sharp 75% rise in shoplifting, with incidents jumping from 32 to 56. This surge, though still below the UK average for shoplifting (0.6 per 1,000), suggests potential shifts in retail crime patterns during the post-holiday period. Concurrently, possession of weapons increased by 44.4%, a troubling trend that may reflect seasonal fluctuations in illicit activity. In contrast, robbery rates fell by 57.1%, dropping from 7 to 3 incidents—a decline that, while welcome, remains well below the UK average. The crime mix in January highlights a stark imbalance: violent crimes (40.4% of total) outnumbered property crimes (27.9%) by a significant margin, a dynamic that is 27% above the UK average for violence and sexual offences. This dominance of violent crime may indicate underlying social tensions or environmental factors warranting further analysis.

Caerphilly's crime rate in January 2024 (8.2 per 1,000 residents) marked a 5.1% increase from the previous month's 7.8 per 1,000, reflecting a slight upward trend. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 47 crimes per day, a figure that underscores the persistent presence of criminal activity in local communities. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 121 residents, a monthly exposure rate that aligns with the area's overall crime profile. When compared to the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000, Caerphilly's rate remains higher. gap is consistent with regional patterns observed in similar urban centres. This context highlights the need for continued attention to local crime prevention strategies, particularly in areas where violent and anti-social behaviours are concentrated.