Caerphilly Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

November 2024 marked a sharp shift in Caerphilly's crime profile, driven by a 500% month-on-month surge in theft from the person. This spike, the largest single category increase in the dataset, contrasts with declines in drug-related offences and other crime. The local authority's overall crime rate stood at 8.8 per 1,000 residents, placing it 15.8% above the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 38.9% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (19.6%) and public order offences (10.2%). These figures align with seasonal patterns, as November's dark evenings and Bonfire Night events may partly explain the rise in public order and violent crimes. The area's mix of urban and rural characteristics likely contributes to this profile, with retail hubs potentially driving shoplifting during Black Friday promotions. While property crimes remained relatively low compared to the UK average, the violent crime rate was 32% above the national benchmark, reflecting persistent challenges in managing incidents in public spaces. The data suggests a combination of local demographics, seasonal activity, and policing efforts from this snapshot.

The most dramatic month-on-month change in November 2024 was a 500% increase in theft from the person, rising from 1 to 6 incidents. This jump, though numerically small, represents a significant proportional shift and may reflect heightened opportunities during dark evenings or targeted activity around festive events. Concurrently, bicycle theft surged 200% (from 2 to 6 cases), potentially linked to increased cycling during colder weather or changes in parking patterns. In contrast, possession of weapons fell by 27.3% (from 11 to 8 cases), though this remains 67% above the UK average. The violent crime category, which includes sexual offences, was 32% above the UK average, a figure that may be influenced by the area's population density and social dynamics. Shoplifting saw a 16.1% increase (56 to 65 cases), consistent with Black Friday shopping activity. Other theft remained 9% below the UK average, suggesting effective local measures or differences in retail security practices. The stark contrast between rising theft from the person and falling drug-related offences highlights shifting patterns in criminal activity, though further analysis would be needed to establish direct links.

Caerphilly's November 2024 crime rate of 8.8 per 1,000 residents represents a 2.2% increase from the previous month's 8.6 rate, indicating a slight upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 52 crimes per day, a figure that may feel more tangible to residents when considering the monthly exposure context: over the course of November, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 114 residents. This monthly aggregate provides a broader perspective than daily counts, which can fluctuate based on short-term events. Compared to the UK average, Caerphilly's rate remains higher, though the local population's size and distribution may influence this disparity. The 15.8% gap between Caerphilly and the UK average underscores the need for targeted interventions, particularly in areas where violent crimes and anti-social behaviour exceed national benchmarks. However, the data also reveals pockets of relative safety, such as the 9% below-average rate for other theft and the 42% below-average rate for shoplifting. These variations suggest that while certain crime types are persistently elevated, others may be effectively managed through local strategies. The comparison to the previous month highlights the importance of monitoring trends over time, as small percentage changes can compound into significant differences in public safety perceptions.