Caerphilly Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

November 2025 marked a stark contrast in Caerphilly's crime profile, with a recorded rate of 0.1 crimes per 1,000 residents — 98.6% below the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000. This exceptionally low rate reflects a combination of factors, including a strong community policing presence and a geographical profile that blends rural tranquillity with urban infrastructure. The most prevalent category was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 50% of all reported crimes, followed by criminal damage and arson, drugs, burglary, anti-social behaviour, and vehicle crime, each contributing 10% of the total. Seasonal dynamics likely played a role: the darkening evenings of November may have influenced patterns of violent crime, while Bonfire Night events could have temporarily heightened concerns around anti-social behaviour. However, the overall volume remained exceptionally low, with no single category approaching even the UK average for its type. The contrast with the UK national picture is striking — for instance, violence and sexual offences in Caerphilly were 100% below the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000. This suggests a combination of socio-economic stability, effective local interventions, and the area's character as a mixed-use district with limited high-risk zones. The low crime rate may also reflect a demographic profile where younger populations are proportionally smaller, reducing the likelihood of certain offence types. While direct causal links, the seasonal context of November — with its shorter daylight hours and holiday-related activities — may have influenced both the types and frequencies of crimes reported.

The most dramatic month-on-month shift was a 37.5% decrease in violence and sexual offences, falling from 8 to 5 cases. This reduction, though modest in absolute terms, is significant given the low base rate and may reflect seasonal factors such as the transition from autumn to winter, which often sees a dip in violent crime due to reduced socialising in public spaces. Conversely, three categories — drugs, burglary, and anti-social behaviour — all saw a 100% increase, each rising from 0 to 1 case. These spikes, though small, suggest potential localised issues or reporting patterns. For example, the single burglary case could be linked to increased home occupancy during the holiday season, while anti-social behaviour might have been influenced by Bonfire Night events. All categories remained 100% below the UK average for their respective types, with violence and sexual offences at 0.0 per 1,000 compared to the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000. This underscores Caerphilly's consistently low crime profile, even as specific categories fluctuated. A resident might find the daily crime rate of 0 incidents per day particularly reassuring, though the small absolute numbers mean that even minor shifts can appear significant. The data highlights a delicate balance between maintaining safety and addressing isolated incidents that, while rare, require attention.

The crime rate in November 2025 remained unchanged from the previous month at 0.1 per 1,000 residents, a -25.0% decrease from the prior month's rate of 0.1 per 1,000. This stability, despite the month-on-month fluctuations in specific categories, indicates a broader trend of low-level crime management. On a daily basis, Caerphilly experienced roughly 0 crimes per day, a figure that, while technically zero, reflects the small absolute numbers in a population of 176,865. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 17,687 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is exceptionally low compared to national benchmarks. This figure, when contextualised, suggests that even if crime were to double, the impact on individual residents would remain minimal. The population-scaled perspective is critical: in a city of Caerphilly's size, the average resident faces a risk of encountering crime that is orders of magnitude lower than the UK average. For instance, the UK average of 7.3 crimes per 1,000 residents equates to one crime for every 137 residents annually, whereas Caerphilly's rate translates to one crime for every 1,000 residents annually. This disparity reinforces the area's status as a relatively safe jurisdiction, though it also raises questions about the accuracy of underreporting or the effectiveness of local crime prevention strategies in maintaining such low rates.