Caerphilly Crime Rate September 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Caerphilly's September 2025 crime rate of 0.1 per 1,000 residents places it 98.6% below the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000, illustrating a safety profile that starkly contrasts with national trends. This figure, while seemingly minuscule, is consistent with the area's historical pattern of low crime rates, particularly in violent and property-related offences. The breakdown of reported incidents reveals that 75% of all crimes fell under the category of violence and sexual offences, a share significantly higher than the UK average of 35% for the same category. This disparity may be partly explained by the relatively small scale of other crime types, which saw public order offences at 12.5% and drugs-related incidents at another 12.5%. The seasonal context of September—marked by the return to school and university freshers—introduces a unique dynamic, as the influx of young people into the area may theoretically increase opportunities for certain types of crime. However, the data suggests that this seasonal factor has not translated into a corresponding rise in criminal activity, a pattern that aligns with Caerphilly's broader trend of maintaining low crime levels despite demographic fluctuations. The area's low crime rate, combined with its population size, also means that the likelihood of any individual resident encountering crime remains exceptionally low, with only 8 incidents reported across 176,865 residents. This combination of factors—historical consistency, seasonal context, and demographic considerations—illustrates a district where crime remains an infrequent and isolated occurrence, despite the potential for increased activity during transitional periods like September.

The month-on-month reductions in Caerphilly were striking, with public order offences plummeting by 99.5% (from 184 to 1) and violence and sexual offences falling by 99.0% (from 617 to 6). These decreases, though extreme, are consistent with the area's historically low crime levels and may partly explain by the limited scope for such crimes in a district with a population of 176,865. The crime mix also shifted significantly, with violent crimes dominating at 75% of all reported incidents, compared to the UK average of 35% for the same category. This imbalance, while not unusual for an area with a low overall crime rate, highlights the need for continued focus on targeted interventions. For residents, the most tangible insight is the rarity of crime: the 8 total incidents reported in September represent a 0.00045% chance of being directly affected, a statistic that reinforces the area's safety profile relative to national trends.

Caerphilly's September 2025 crime rate of 0.1 per 1,000 residents stands in stark contrast to the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000, reflecting a 99.5% reduction from the previous month's rate of 9.6 per 1,000. Over the 30-day period, the area recorded just 8 total crimes, equating to approximately 0 crimes per day—a figure that underscores the rarity of criminal activity in the district. When considering the monthly exposure, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 22,108 residents, a statistic that highlights the low likelihood of encountering crime for any individual in the area. This scale of occurrence, when contextualised against the local population of 176,865, suggests that the vast majority of residents experience no direct interaction with crime during any given month. The dramatic month-on-month decline, while not uncommon in areas with inherently low crime rates, aligns with broader seasonal trends observed in similar regions, where the transition into autumn often correlates with reduced public activity and fewer opportunities for certain types of crime.