Caerphilly Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

Caerphilly’s crime profile in January 2026 reveals a striking imbalance between property and violent crime, with the latter accounting for 57.1% of all reported incidents. The overall crime rate of 0.1 per 1,000 residents is 98.5% below the UK average of 6.6, a figure that reflects the area’s broader safety compared to national trends. This stark contrast is particularly evident in the breakdown of offences, where violent and sexual offences dominate despite their relatively low absolute numbers. The absence of property crime in the month’s statistics is noteworthy, especially when compared to the UK average for this category, which is 0.3 per 1,000. Seasonal factors may partly explain this pattern, as January typically sees reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours, which could diminish opportunities for property-related offences. However, the surge in violent crime—jumping from one to eight incidents—raises questions about local dynamics, such as post-holiday social tensions or shifts in community activity. While the UK average for violent crime is 2.4 per 1,000, Caerphilly’s rate remains 96% below this, suggesting a broader trend of low violence despite the recent increase. The area’s crime profile thus appears to be shaped by a combination of its geographic and demographic characteristics, with the low property crime rate linked to the town’s rural-urban mix and the dominance of violent crime influenced by transient populations or seasonal events.

January 2026 saw a 700% increase in violent and sexual offences, rising from one incident to eight, marking the most significant month-on-month jump in the dataset. This sharp rise in violent crime contrasts sharply with the absence of property-related offences, which remained at zero for the first time in recent records. The category of violence and sexual offences in Caerphilly is 96% below the UK average of 2.4 per 1,000, a disparity that underscores the area’s unusually low levels of violent crime despite the recent spike. Residents may find the daily crime count of approximately 0.45 incidents noteworthy, though this remains well below the threshold of concern for most communities. The absence of property crime, coupled with the dominance of violent offences, suggests a unique local context that may require further analysis to understand the underlying factors.

Caerphilly's crime rate in January 2026 rose by 60% compared to the previous month, though it remains exceptionally low at 0.1 per 1,000 residents. This translates to roughly one reported crime for every 12,633 residents over the course of the month, a figure that starkly contrasts with the UK average. Daily crime statistics reveal an average of 0.45 crimes per day, though this number is context-dependent and should not be directly compared to national averages, as UK-wide daily figures are not provided. The population-scaled perspective highlights the rarity of crime in Caerphilly, with violent offences accounting for 57.1% of total incidents but still significantly below the UK average for this category. These figures suggest a community where crime is not only infrequent but also skewed towards violent incidents, a pattern that may reflect local social dynamics or seasonal factors such as post-holiday transitions. The absence of property crime in the month-on-month breakdown further underscores the unique balance of crime types in this area.