Oakdale Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

July 2023 presented an unexpected spike in violence and sexual offences in Oakdale, a built-up area within Caerphilly, despite the area maintaining a crime rate 37.3% below the UK average of 8.3 per 1,000 residents. The overall crime rate of 5.2 per 1,000—equivalent to 28 total crimes—was driven by 18 incidents of violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 64.3% of all recorded crimes. This category alone exceeded the UK average by 22%, highlighting a stark local anomaly. Seasonal factors likely contributed to this pattern, as July is a peak month for tourism, festivals, and outdoor events in the area. The relatively low property crime rate (6 incidents, or 21.4% of total crimes) contrasts with the UK average, where property crimes typically dominate. Shoplifting and burglary both remained below national benchmarks by 67% and 39% respectively, suggesting effective local deterrence measures. The area's built-up character, combined with its location in Caerphilly, may explain the lower property crime rates compared to more rural or industrial regions. However, the rise in violence raises questions about how seasonal activity, such as increased foot traffic during events, interacts with local policing and community safety initiatives.

July 2023 marked a 100% increase in vehicle crime, with one incident reported after none in June—a sharp rise that may reflect summer-related activity patterns. Other theft also surged by 100%, driven by three incidents, suggesting potential vulnerabilities in local security measures. Violence and sexual offences rose 12.5% (from 16 to 18 cases), making them 22% above the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000. This category alone accounts for 64.3% of all crimes in Oakdale, a stark contrast to the UK's 22% share. 'other crime' fell by 33.3% (from 3 to 2 cases), though it remains 186% above the UK average of 0.1 per 1,000. These shifts underscore a combination of seasonal factors and local dynamics, with violence and theft emerging as key concerns despite the area's overall low crime profile.

Oakdale's crime rate in July 2023 rose 16.8% from 4.5 to 5.2 per 1,000 residents compared to June. While this marks a local increase, the area remains 37.3% below the UK average of 8.3 per 1,000. Daily crime statistics show an average of one reported crime per day in July, a figure that, while low, reflects the area's generally safe environment. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for roughly every 192 residents, a monthly exposure rate that suggests most residents are unlikely to experience crime directly. This context is critical for understanding local safety: while the overall rate is modest, the month-on-month increase indicates shifting patterns that warrant attention. The population-scaled perspective reinforces that Oakdale's crime profile remains markedly different from the UK average, with property crimes and violent offences both trending below national benchmarks. However, the rise in violence and sexual offences—now 22% above the UK average—introduces a new dynamic to consider in local safety assessments.