Oakdale Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile of Oakdale in October 2023 reveals a striking dominance of violent crime, which accounted for 50% of all reported incidents. This stark contrast to the UK average, where violent crime constitutes 33.75% of total crime, suggests a unique local dynamic. With a crime rate of 4.8 per 1,000 residents—40% below the UK average of 8.0—Oakdale's overall safety remains comparatively strong. However, the balance of crime types indicates a complex picture: while violent crime is the primary concern, property crimes are extremely rare, with only two incidents reported. This divergence may be influenced by Oakdale's character as a built-up area within Caerphilly, where community density and local interactions could contribute to the prevalence of violent and public order offences. The seasonal context of October, with darker evenings and Halloween, likely amplifies incidents of public disorder and anti-social behaviour, which rose by 66.7% compared to September. Despite these fluctuations, the area's crime rate remains significantly below the UK average, particularly in categories like anti-social behaviour (30% below the national figure) and vehicle crime (23% below). This suggests that while certain factors may temporarily elevate specific crime types, broader systemic factors in Oakdale appear to maintain a lower overall crime environment. The dominance of violent crime, however, highlights a need for targeted interventions that address local patterns, linked to the area's demographic profile or social infrastructure.

October 2023 saw a dramatic 100% increase in public order offences, rising from zero to six cases—a shift that may reflect heightened community tensions or the impact of Halloween-related activities. Vehicle crime also doubled from zero to two incidents, a surge that could be linked to increased foot traffic in local areas or seasonal changes in parking patterns. Meanwhile, violence and sexual offences fell by 13.3%, from 15 to 13 cases, though this category still remains 11% below the UK average. The dominance of violent crime—accounting for 50% of all reported incidents—contrasts sharply with the UK average, where such offences make up 33.75% of total crime. Anti-social behaviour, which rose by 66.7% to five incidents, remains 30% below the UK average, suggesting a combination of local factors that keep certain crime types below national norms despite the overall upward trend in specific categories.

Oakdale's crime rate in October 2023 rose 3.9% compared to the previous month, moving from 4.7 to 4.8 per 1,000 residents. While this small increase may reflect seasonal patterns or localized activity, the overall rate remains significantly below the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that provides context for local residents. Monthly exposure calculations show that over the course of October, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 207 residents—a rate that, while low, warrants attention to trends in specific crime types. With a population of 5,378, the area's relatively sparse crime density contrasts with the UK average, particularly in violent crime categories. However, the sharp rise in public order offences—doubling from zero to six cases—introduces a new dynamic that may require closer examination of local community interactions or events during the month.