Oakdale Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Oakdale’s crime profile in January 2024 revealed a pronounced imbalance between violent and property crimes, with the former accounting for nearly half of all incidents. At 5.4 per 1,000 residents, the area’s crime rate was 27% below the UK average, a figure that underscores its relatively low-level crime environment compared to national benchmarks. The most common crimes were violence and sexual offences (14 incidents), followed by public order (3) and anti-social behaviour (3). This pattern aligns with the area’s built-up character within Caerphilly, where social interactions and public spaces may contribute to higher rates of violent incidents. Seasonal factors likely played a role, as January typically sees reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours, which may suppress property crimes but leave violent offences more exposed in public settings. The UK average for violence and sexual offences matched Oakdale’s rate exactly, suggesting that the area’s violent crime trends are in line with national patterns, though its lower overall rate indicates effective local policing or community engagement. However, the sharp rise in 'Other crime'—a category that includes non-specific incidents—raises questions about unreported or underclassified activities that may require further scrutiny. This data highlights the need to balance targeted interventions for violent crime with broader strategies to address emerging categories of offence.

Violent crimes dominated January’s crime mix, making up 48.3% of all reported incidents—double the share of property crimes. This imbalance may reflect local factors such as the area’s role as a hub for social activity or its proximity to larger urban centres. Meanwhile, month-on-month changes revealed sharp shifts: 'Other crime' and 'Other theft' both doubled from December, while vehicle crime plummeted by 80%. These fluctuations could be linked to seasonal factors, such as reduced vehicle traffic during the post-holiday lull or targeted enforcement efforts. Public order offences in Oakdale exceeded the UK average by 25%, a figure that may indicate challenges in managing community spaces during colder months. Residents should be aware of the 100% increase in 'Other crime', which includes non-specific incidents that may require heightened vigilance in certain areas.

Oakdale’s crime rate in January 2024 fell 12.2% compared to the previous month, dropping from 6.1 to 5.4 per 1,000 residents. This decline aligns with seasonal patterns typical of January, a post-holiday period marked by reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours, which may partly explain lower outdoor crime rates. On a daily basis, the area recorded one crime per day over the month, a figure that reflects the built-up nature of the area and its relatively small population of 5,378. When considering monthly exposure, residents faced a 1-in-185 chance of being directly affected by a reported crime, a statistic that contextualises the rate within the local population. While this figure is lower than the UK average, the area’s crime profile remains shaped by its role as a built-up part of Caerphilly, where public spaces and community interactions may influence crime dynamics differently than in more rural or suburban settings.