Oakdale Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

July 2024 saw Oakdale's crime rate drop to 3.0 per 1,000 residents—64.3% below the UK average of 8.4 per 1,000. This marked decline, though not uniform across all categories, reflects the seasonal rhythms of a built-up area within Caerphilly, where summer months typically bring heightened tourism and community events. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 50% of the 16 total incidents, a rate of 1.5 per 1,000 residents—47% below the UK average for this category. Public order offences followed at 18.8%, with anti-social behaviour contributing 12.5% to the overall tally. The stark contrast between Oakdale's crime profile and the UK average suggests a community where violent crime is rare, though the presence of weapon possession—now 186% above the UK average—introduces a notable outlier. Seasonal factors likely play a role in shaping these patterns: with schools closed and festivals in full swing, the town's retail and leisure spaces may see increased foot traffic, which could both deter crime through greater surveillance and, paradoxically, create opportunities for public order issues. The low property crime rate (6.3% of incidents) aligns with the area's built-up character, where commercial activity might reduce opportunities for burglary. However, the 100% increase in weapon possession raises questions about local dynamics, linked to the influx of transient visitors or changes in policing priorities. Overall, Oakdale's crime picture in July 2024 illustrates a combination of seasonal activity and underlying community safety trends.

The most striking shift in July 2024 was the 100% increase in possession of weapons, rising from zero to one incident—a category that exceeded the UK average by 186%. This anomaly contrasts sharply with the 38.5% decrease in violence and sexual offences, which fell from 13 to 8 incidents. The drop in violent crime may reflect seasonal factors, as July typically sees increased community activity and tourism, which could act as a deterrent. Public order offences also rose by 50%, from 2 to 3 incidents, though they remained 6% below the UK average. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour fell by 60%, declining from 5 to 2 incidents, a trend consistent with the quieter community dynamics of summer. The crime mix in Oakdale remains heavily weighted toward violent crime (50% of total incidents), with property crimes accounting for just 6.3%. This imbalance suggests that local safety concerns are more closely tied to interpersonal conflicts than to theft or burglary. Residents may find the 1-in-336 resident monthly exposure figure particularly relevant, as it contextualises the low likelihood of encountering crime in daily life.

Oakdale's crime rate in July 2024 (3.0 per 1,000 residents) represents a 35.9% decrease from the previous month's rate of 4.7 per 1,000. This decline aligns with the typically lower crime volumes observed during summer months, when schools are closed and tourism activity peaks. On a daily basis, Oakdale recorded approximately one crime per day in July—a figure that, while seemingly low, reflects the small population scale. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 336 residents, highlighting the relatively low frequency of incidents in this built-up area. When compared to the UK average of 8.4 per 1,000, Oakdale's rate remains significantly below, though this gap has narrowed slightly from earlier in the year. The population context further underscores the rarity of crime here: with 5,378 residents, the 16 total crimes reported in July equate to just 0.3% of the population being directly involved in an incident. This statistical profile suggests a community where crime is infrequent and often isolated, though the increase in possession of weapons raises questions about local dynamics that warrant closer attention.