Oakdale Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2025, Oakdale's overall crime rate of 4.1 per 1,000 residents placed it 42.3% below the UK average of 7.1, a disparity that underscores the area's generally safer profile. The crime mix was dominated by violent offences — 11 incidents (50% of total) — which included violence and sexual offences at 2.1 per 1,000. This stark contrast with property crimes (5 incidents, 22.7% of total) suggests a unique local dynamic. The seasonal context of January, with its post-holiday lull and shorter daylight hours, may have contributed to fewer outdoor crimes typical of this time of year. However, the prominence of violent crimes compared to property crimes is notable in a built-up area, where retail presence and nightlife activity usually drive theft-related incidents. The UK average for violence and sexual offences (2.5 per 1,000) was 16% higher than Oakdale's rate, yet the area's figure for other thefts (0.6 per 1,000) exceeded the national average by 22%. This divergence may reflect local factors such as community policing strategies or demographic characteristics. The low burglary rate (0.2 per 1,000) compared to the UK average (0.3) and the unusually high rate of possession of weapons (0.2 per 1,000) — 233% above the UK average — further illustrate the complexity of Oakdale's crime profile. These patterns, while stable month-on-month, warrant continued monitoring to understand their implications for public safety in this part of Caerphilly.

January 2025 saw a marked shift in Oakdale's crime profile, with public order offences surging by 200% compared to the previous month. This increase, from one to three incidents, may reflect seasonal factors such as post-holiday gatherings or local events. Concurrently, burglary and possession of weapons each doubled, raising concerns about potential unreported incidents or changes in policing focus. In contrast, anti-social behaviour fell by two-thirds, possibly due to reduced foot traffic following Christmas and New Year's events. Violent crimes — which accounted for 50% of all incidents — remained 16% below the UK average for this category. Other thefts, however, were 22% above the national average, indicating a specific local challenge. These figures highlight a combination of resident activity patterns and policing priorities in a built-up area.

Oakdale's crime rate remained stable at 4.1 per 1,000 residents in January 2025, matching the previous month's figure. Daily crime activity averaged one reported incident per day, a figure that aligns with the area's small population of 5,378. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for roughly every 244 residents, a metric that contextualises the low frequency of incidents in a built-up area within Caerphilly. While the overall rate is consistent with December, the distribution of crime types has shifted — public order offences and other thefts have risen, while anti-social behaviour has declined. This suggests a potential reallocation of police resources or changes in community dynamics. The local population context means that even minor fluctuations in crime type percentages can have noticeable impacts on resident perceptions, though the absolute numbers remain low compared to national benchmarks.