Oakdale Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

July 2025 presented an unusual crime profile for Oakdale, a built-up area within Caerphilly, where the most striking development was the 400% surge in criminal damage and arson. This sharp increase, from one to five incidents, stands in stark contrast to the overall crime rate of 6.3 per 1,000, which remains 26.7% below the UK average. The data reveals a significant shift in the balance of crime types, with violent crimes—particularly violence and sexual offences—accounting for 47.1% of all reported incidents, compared to 35.6% for property crimes. This dominance of violent crime may be influenced by seasonal factors, as July is a time of heightened outdoor activity, festivals, and tourism in the area, which can contribute to increased interpersonal conflicts. The UK average for violence and sexual offences is 3.0 per 1,000, matching Oakdale’s rate exactly, suggesting that local conditions are broadly aligned with national trends in this category. However, anti-social behaviour in Oakdale was 42% below the UK average, a figure that may reflect effective community policing or the area’s smaller population size, which could facilitate more targeted interventions. The low rate of vehicle crime—0.2 per 1,000, 49% below the UK average—also indicates that local measures, such as improved street lighting or parking enforcement, may be contributing to reduced opportunities for such offences. These patterns, while consistent with broader seasonal trends, highlight the need for continued vigilance in addressing the unexpected rise in vandalism and arson, which could be linked to the increased foot traffic and event-related activities typical of the summer months.

July 2025 marked an unexpected surge in criminal damage and arson, which rose by 400% compared to the previous month, moving from one incident to five. This dramatic increase contrasts sharply with the 75% decline in vehicle crime, which dropped from four to one, and the 75% reduction in other theft, which fell from four to one. These shifts highlight a notable reallocation of criminal activity, with property-related crimes decreasing while acts of vandalism and arson spiked. The rate of violence and sexual offences remained stable at 3.0 per 1,000, slightly below the UK average, while anti-social behaviour saw a 42% deficit compared to national figures. Such a stark contrast in crime types may reflect seasonal factors, as July is typically a peak time for festivals and outdoor events in Oakdale, potentially increasing opportunities for vandalism. Residents may find the 75% drop in vehicle crime particularly reassuring, suggesting that local measures—such as increased patrols or improved security—may be having an effect.

Oakdale’s crime rate in July 2025 rose by 30.8% compared to the previous month, reflecting a shift in local crime patterns. The daily crime count averaged one incident per day over 31 days, a figure that, while low, underscores the intermittent nature of reported crimes in the area. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 158 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places Oakdale well below the UK average in several categories. This figure is particularly notable when considering the built-up nature of the area, where higher population density typically correlates with higher crime rates. However, Oakdale’s data shows a marked divergence from the UK average in specific categories, such as anti-social behaviour, which is 42% below the national rate. This contrast may be attributed to local community initiatives or the area’s smaller scale, which could facilitate more effective policing or community engagement. The population-scaled perspective also reveals that while Oakdale’s crime rate is lower than the UK average overall, the volatility in certain crime types—such as criminal damage and arson—suggests that localized factors may be influencing trends more acutely than broader regional patterns.