Pontllanfraith Crime Rate April 2023 | Monthly Statistics

April 2023 revealed a distinct balance between property and violent crime in Pontllanfraith, with the latter category dominating the overall crime picture. The area's crime rate of 5.9 per 1,000 residents, 21.3% below the UK average, underscores a generally lower exposure to crime compared to the national context. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 43.3% of all reported incidents, far outpacing property crimes (16 cases, or 26.7% of the total). This imbalance may reflect the area's built-up character, where public spaces and community interactions can heighten the risk of interpersonal conflicts. Anti-social behaviour (18.3% of all crimes) and public order offences (11.7%) also featured prominently, though the latter exceeded the UK average by 9%. The seasonal context of April—marked by Easter, spring weather, and increased outdoor activity—likely influenced these patterns. For instance, the rise in shoplifting (100% increase) could be tied to holiday shopping or targeted retail theft during the Easter period. However, the overall crime rate remained stable, with no significant spikes in categories like burglary or vehicle crime, which were both below the UK average by 33% and 56%, respectively. This suggests that local factors, such as community policing or demographic characteristics, may contribute to the area's relatively lower crime levels. The data also highlights a potential link between increased outdoor activity and the rise in public order offences, though this connection remains speculative without further contextual analysis.

April 2023 saw a 21.2% decrease in violent crimes compared to March, with 26 incidents recorded—a drop from 33 the previous month. This reduction may reflect the Easter holiday period, which typically sees reduced foot traffic in retail and leisure areas. Conversely, shoplifting rose by 100%, jumping from three to six incidents, a shift that could be linked to seasonal retail activity or targeted policing efforts. Other theft also surged by 150%, rising from two to five cases, though this category remains below the UK average by 11%. Anti-social behaviour fell by 15.4%, from 13 to 11 incidents, indicating the impact of Easter-related community events or improved local engagement. Vehicle crime—a category with a UK average of 0.5 per 1,000—jumped from zero to two incidents, a 100% increase that may point to seasonal changes in parking patterns or increased vehicle movement during the Easter period. These shifts highlight the dynamic interplay between local events and crime trends, with some categories aligning closely with national averages while others deviate significantly.

Pontllanfraith's crime rate in April 2023 fell to 5.9 per 1,000 residents, a 3.3% decline from the previous month's 6.1 per 1,000. This slight downward trend aligns with broader seasonal patterns, where spring months often see reduced property crime as weather shifts encourage outdoor activity. Locally, the average resident faces roughly one reported crime every 170 people over the course of the month, a figure that contextualises the monthly exposure rate against the area's population of 10,203. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately two crimes per day—a consistent rhythm that may reflect the built-up nature of the area and its proximity to Caerphilly's urban core. While this daily rate remains stable, the 21.3% gap between Pontllanfraith's rate and the UK average highlights the area's relatively lower exposure to crime compared to the national picture, particularly in categories like vehicle crime and burglary. This contrast may be attributed to local policing strategies or the area's specific socio-economic profile from the data alone.