Pontllanfraith Crime Rate September 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For a built-up area of 10,203 residents, 62 crimes in September 2024 translates to one reported incident for every 165 residents over the month. This crime rate of 6.1 per 1,000 residents places Pontllanfraith 20.8% below the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000, reflecting a safer-than-average profile. Violence and sexual offences (25 incidents, 40.3% of total) dominate the crime picture, followed by public order (17, 27.4%) and anti-social behaviour (6, 9.7%). These patterns align with seasonal rhythms: September marks the start of the academic year, with freshers' week and back-to-school routines potentially contributing to higher incidents of public order and violence. While violence rates are 5% below the UK average, public order offences are 204% above the national benchmark—a stark contrast that may reflect local factors such as community density or policing priorities. The low property crime rate (10 incidents, 15.9% of total) suggests a lower prevalence of burglary and vehicle crime compared to other areas, though this may be influenced by the area's built-up character and limited retail or industrial activity. Seasonal shifts, such as shorter evenings and the start of term-time, likely play a role in shaping these figures, though the exact nature of these influences remains to be explored further.

September 2024 saw an 112.5% increase in public order offences, rising from 8 to 17 incidents—a sharp upward trend that outpaces national averages. This category, which includes anti-social behaviour and disorder, is 204% above the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000, suggesting a localised challenge that may be linked to the area's built-up nature and seasonal activity. Concurrently, other theft (8 to 3, -62.5%) and vehicle crime (2 to 1, -50%) fell significantly, potentially reflecting reduced foot traffic or targeted policing efforts. Burglary doubled from 1 to 2 incidents, though it remains 35% below the UK average, while possession of weapons (0 to 1, +100%) emerged as a new category in the monthly data. The violence and sexual offences category (25 incidents, 40.3% of total) remains 5% below the UK average, but its prominence highlights the need for targeted interventions. Shoplifting dropped 50% to one incident, which could indicate the impact of seasonal retail patterns or improved security measures. These fluctuations underscore the dynamic nature of local crime trends and the importance of contextual analysis in understanding their drivers.

Pontllanfraith's crime rate of 6.1 per 1,000 in September 2024 marks a 6.0% decrease from the previous month's 6.5 per 1,000, indicating a slight downward trend. Over the course of the month, this equates to roughly two crimes per day—a pace that, while steady, contrasts with the UK's broader context. The monthly exposure figure—1 crime per 165 residents—provides a tangible sense of risk for local residents, though it remains significantly lower than the UK average. When scaled to population size, the area's 20.8% below-average rate suggests a combination of effective policing, community engagement, or environmental factors that contribute to lower overall crime. However, the stark disparity in specific categories, such as public order offences being 204% above the UK average, highlights the need for targeted strategies to address localised issues. These figures, when viewed alongside the previous month's data, reveal a nuanced picture: while overall crime is declining, certain types of offending remain high, requiring careful analysis to identify underlying causes. For residents, this means a generally safer environment but with specific areas of concern that warrant attention.