Pontllanfraith Crime Rate February 2025 | Monthly Statistics

February 2025 saw Pontllanfraith record a crime rate of 4.5 per 1,000 residents, placing it 32.8% below the UK average of 6.7 per 1,000. This figure reflects a sustained period of lower crime activity, consistent with the area’s built-up character within Caerphilly, where community-focused policing and limited industrial activity may contribute to reduced criminal opportunities. The top crime types were violence and sexual offences (34.8% of total crimes), anti-social behaviour (19.6%), and other theft (13.0%), with the latter two categories showing notable deviations from UK averages. Violence and sexual offences, while remaining the most prevalent category, were 32% below the UK rate, a gap that may be influenced by the area’s relatively stable social environment and proximity to urban resources. Anti-social behaviour, though lower than the UK average, decreased by 50% from the previous month, linked to the winter lull in public spaces. Other theft, however, rose by 40%, though it remained 30% below the UK rate. Seasonally, February’s low outdoor activity and pre-spring lull may have dampened certain types of crime, such as vehicle-related incidents, while indoor-focused crimes like anti-social behaviour saw fluctuation. The area’s crime profile thus illustrates a balance between local conditions and broader seasonal trends, with no single factor dominating the data.

The most dramatic month-on-month change was a 400% increase in criminal damage and arson, rising from one to five incidents. This spike contrasts sharply with a 75% drop in vehicle crime, which fell from four to one, possibly reflecting reduced winter driving activity. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour decreased by 50%, from six to three incidents, a decline that may be linked to the seasonal lull in public gatherings. Violence and sexual offences remained the most common category, accounting for 34.8% of total crimes, but they were 32% below the UK average. Other theft, while rising by 40% to six incidents, still lagged behind the UK rate by 30%. These shifts underscore a combination of seasonal factors and local conditions, with the area’s crime profile showing resilience compared to national trends.

Pontllanfraith's crime rate in February 2025 dropped 19.3% from 5.6 to 4.5 per 1,000 residents, marking a continued downward trend. This reduction aligns with the area’s historical pattern of seasonal moderation, as winter’s low outdoor activity may limit opportunities for certain crimes. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately two crimes per day, a figure that contextualises the pace of incidents for local residents. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 222 residents, a statistic that highlights the relatively low frequency of crime relative to the population. When compared to the previous month, the shift from property crimes dominating to a more balanced split between violent and property crimes suggests evolving patterns, possibly influenced by the transition from winter to spring. This balance may reflect changes in community behaviour or the timing of local events that influence crime dynamics.