Risca Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Risca's crime rate in January 2024 stood at 10.6 per 1,000, placing the area 43.2% above the UK average of 7.4. This elevated rate is driven by a combination of factors, including a significant rise in violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 37.3% of all crimes, and a sharp increase in anti-social behaviour, which made up 22.2% of reported incidents. These two categories, along with criminal damage and arson (17.0%), formed the majority of crimes recorded, reflecting a pattern that diverges sharply from the UK average. Violence and sexual offences in Risca were 50% above the UK rate of 2.6 per 1,000, while anti-social behaviour was 142% above the national average of 1.0 per 1,000. The seasonal context of January—marked by post-holiday periods, reduced retail footfall, and shorter days—likely contributes to these trends, as such conditions may amplify tensions and reduce opportunities for outdoor activities that typically disperse crowds. The built-up nature of the area may also play a role, with higher population density increasing the likelihood of anti-social behaviour and interpersonal conflicts. Despite these challenges, certain categories such as other theft and burglary were below the UK average, suggesting that not all crime types are equally affected by local conditions. The data illustrates a combination of seasonal, demographic, and geographic factors that shape the crime profile of Risca in January 2024, with violence and anti-social behaviour emerging as particularly pressing concerns.

Violence and sexual offences surged by 78.1% month-on-month, rising from 32 to 57 incidents, marking the most significant increase in any category. Anti-social behaviour, which accounts for 22.2% of all crimes, was 142% above the UK average of 1.0 per 1,000, a disparity that underscores the area's unique challenges. Meanwhile, vehicle crime plummeted by 83.3%, dropping from six to one incident, a stark contrast to the rising trends in other categories. The spike in violence and sexual offences may be linked to the post-holiday period, where social interactions and potential tensions could contribute to such increases. Other theft, the only category below the UK average, was 30% lower than the national rate, suggesting a relatively lower incidence of property-related crimes in this built-up area. These shifts highlight a complex mix of local factors influencing crime patterns, with anti-social behaviour and violence emerging as critical areas for focus.

Risca's crime rate in January 2024 rose to 10.6 per 1,000, marking a 27.6% increase from the previous month's rate of 8.3. This places the area significantly above the UK average of 7.4, with the gap widening by over 40%. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately five crimes per day, a figure that reflects the concentrated nature of incidents in a built-up area. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 95 residents, a monthly exposure rate that highlights the density of incidents relative to the population. With a total population of 14,467, this translates to a higher frequency of incidents per capita than the UK average, though no direct UK monthly exposure comparison is available. The increase from December to January aligns with typical post-holiday patterns, where reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours may contribute to shifts in crime dynamics.