Ystrad Mynach Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Ystrad Mynach’s crime profile in July 2024 reveals a combination of property and violent crime, with the overall rate of 10.2 crimes per 1,000 residents placing it 21.4% above the UK average. This built-up area within Caerphilly experiences a distinct pattern where property crimes (31 total) narrowly outpace violent crimes (29 total), but the composition of these categories tells a different story. Violence and sexual offences (29 cases) remain the most common single category, though they occur at a rate of 2.6 per 1,000—9% below the UK average. This contrast with other categories highlights a localised imbalance: public order offences (23 cases) and anti-social behaviour (23 cases) each exceed the UK average by over 200%, reflecting the impact of summer activities and events. July, a peak month for tourism and festivals, likely contributes to this trend, with outdoor gatherings and extended hours increasing opportunities for disorder. The area’s character as a commuter town with retail and community hubs may explain the prominence of public order issues, while lower violent crime rates could indicate effective policing or community engagement during the summer season. However, the significant disparity between local and national rates for specific categories underscores the need for targeted interventions in high-impact areas.

July 2024 saw sharp increases in possession of weapons (+300%) and criminal damage and arson (+88.9%), with the latter rising from 9 to 17 cases. These spikes may reflect heightened tensions during summer festivals or increased alcohol-related incidents. Conversely, violence and sexual offences fell by 42% compared to the previous month, from 50 to 29 cases—a decline that could be attributed to the closure of schools and a shift in criminal activity toward public order issues. Public order offences remain 228% above the UK average, a figure that would be of particular concern to residents and local authorities. The category of anti-social behaviour also exceeded the UK average by 45%, suggesting that community-based policing strategies may need recalibration. For residents, the most immediate insight is the 228% disparity in public order offences, which indicates a need for increased awareness and reporting mechanisms during peak summer months. Meanwhile, the significant drop in drug-related crimes (33.3% decrease) could signal the effectiveness of recent initiatives or a temporary shift in criminal priorities.

Ystrad Mynach’s crime rate in July 2024 remained stable compared to the previous month, declining slightly by 1.7% from 10.4 to 10.2 per 1,000 residents. This minor fluctuation suggests no major systemic changes in criminal activity, though the monthly exposure figure of 1 reported crime for every 98 residents provides context for residents: over the course of the month, the likelihood of experiencing a crime was approximately 1.02%. On a daily basis, the area recorded an average of 4 crimes per day, a figure that, while modest, aligns with the local context of a built-up area within Caerphilly. The population of 11,038 residents means that each individual faces a slightly higher risk of encountering crime than the UK average, particularly in categories such as public order and anti-social behaviour. However, the area’s violent crime rate remains 9% below the national average, indicating that while certain aspects of the crime profile are concerning, others align with broader trends. This mixed picture reinforces the importance of contextualising local data within both national benchmarks and the specific characteristics of Ystrad Mynach’s environment.