Ystrad Mynach Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Ystrad Mynach’s crime profile in July 2025 reveals a striking dominance of violent crime over property crime, a pattern that may reflect the area’s seasonal dynamics and local characteristics. With a total crime rate of 10.6 per 1,000 residents — 23.3% above the UK average — the built-up area within Caerphilly faces a particularly acute challenge in managing violent incidents. Violence and sexual offences alone accounted for 57 cases, representing 48.7% of all recorded crimes, while property crimes numbered just 22. This imbalance is consistent with the summer season, when increased public activity, festivals, and outdoor events can heighten the risk of interpersonal conflict. The UK average for violent crimes is 3.0 per 1,000, but Ystrad Mynach’s rate of 5.2 per 1,000 is 71% higher, indicating a significant localised issue. Anti-social behaviour and public order offences also rose sharply, at 56% above the UK average, potentially linked to the area’s proximity to recreational spaces or high-traffic zones. While property crimes such as burglary and vehicle crime remain relatively low compared to violent offences, the 150% increases in other theft and vehicle crime in July may be tied to the summer influx of visitors or the timing of local events. This data underscores the need for a nuanced approach to crime prevention, one that addresses both the immediate risks of violent crime and the underlying factors contributing to property-related incidents.

July 2025 saw a stark shift in crime patterns, with violent crimes accounting for 48.7% of all incidents — more than double the share of property crimes. This imbalance, particularly notable in violence and sexual offences (57 cases), which were 71% above the UK average, suggests a significant local challenge. Month-on-month, three categories saw dramatic increases: other theft, vehicle crime, and drugs, each rising by 150%, 150%, and 100% respectively. These jumps may reflect seasonal factors, such as the influx of visitors during summer festivals or heightened illicit activity linked to outdoor events. Conversely, burglary fell by 25% compared to June, possibly due to increased police presence or community measures. The sharp contrast between violent crime rates and property crime rates in Ystrad Mynach highlights a need for targeted interventions, especially in areas where public order and anti-social behaviour are also elevated, as these crimes were 56% and 3% above UK averages respectively.

Ystrad Mynach’s crime rate in July 2025 rose sharply from 6.8 to 10.6 per 1,000 residents, a 56.1% increase over the previous month. This shift suggests a marked acceleration in reported incidents, potentially linked to seasonal factors such as the summer festival calendar or increased foot traffic. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly four crimes per day, a figure that, while localised, reflects the concentrated nature of activity in built-up areas. Monthly exposure reveals that over the course of July, one crime occurred for every 94 residents, a statistic that contextualises the scale of incidents against the population. This ratio, though not directly comparable to national figures, underscores the relative density of crime in a small urban setting. The population of 11,038 means that even small fluctuations in crime numbers have a proportionally larger impact on residents’ perception of safety, particularly when violent crimes dominate the statistics as they did in July.