Carmarthen Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthen's crime rate in November 2024 stood at 13.1 per 1,000 residents, a figure that is 72.4% above the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. This significant disparity underscores the town's unique challenges compared to national trends, particularly in violent and sexual offences, which accounted for nearly half of all reported crimes. The data reveals a combination of local conditions and seasonal dynamics, with November's darker evenings and high-profile events such as Bonfire Night likely contributing to the elevated levels of public order offences. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category, with 95 incidents recorded, far exceeding the UK average by 140%. This figure may be partially explained by the town's role as a regional hub, where higher population density and increased social interaction can amplify such crimes. Shoplifting and criminal damage also featured prominently, both sitting well above the UK average, suggesting that retail areas and public spaces remain hotspots for these activities. The seasonal context of November—marked by the approach of winter, the commercial frenzy of Black Friday, and the traditional celebration of Bonfire Night—likely played a role in shaping these patterns. While the overall crime rate remains concerning, the stability in month-on-month figures indicates that no immediate spikes or dips have occurred, suggesting a baseline level of criminal activity that may be influenced by long-term structural factors rather than transient events.

Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, making up 47.5% of all incidents and sitting 140% above the UK average. This stark divergence from national trends may be linked to local factors such as seasonal events, including Bonfire Night, which can heighten tensions in public spaces. Meanwhile, public order offences surged by 120% compared to the previous month, rising from 10 to 22 cases. This increase aligns with the timing of Black Friday shopping, a period often associated with heightened retail activity and associated disruptions. Theft from the person fell by two-thirds, declining from 3 to 1 incidents—a drop that may reflect increased police visibility or community awareness campaigns around high-risk periods. Vehicle crime also rose sharply, doubling from 0 to 1 case, though this remains a rare occurrence in the area. Burglary, meanwhile, decreased by 60%, from 5 to 2 incidents, a trend consistent with the lower UK average for this category and influenced by seasonal factors such as reduced outdoor activity during colder months.

Carmarthen's crime rate in November 2024 remained stable at 13.1 per 1,000 residents, matching the previous month's rate. This consistency suggests no significant short-term shifts in criminal activity, though local factors may still influence patterns. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 7 crimes per day, a figure that reflects the built-up nature of the town and its proximity to surrounding rural areas. When considering monthly exposure, one reported crime occurred for every 76 residents over the course of November—a ratio that highlights the density of incidents relative to population size. This figure is particularly notable when compared to Carmarthenshire's broader rural regions, where crime rates tend to be lower due to greater spatial dispersion. The population-scaled perspective reveals that residents face a higher frequency of crime than the UK average, though the rate has not changed month-on-month, indicating potential stability in policing efforts or community interventions.