Carmarthen Crime Rate September 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthen's crime rate in September 2024 stood at 12.2 per 1,000 residents, placing it 58.4% above the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000. This figure underscores the built-up area's continued struggle with crime compared to the national benchmark, though the breakdown of incidents reveals distinct patterns. Violence and sexual offences dominated, accounting for 44.9% of all reported crimes—more than double the share of property crimes (28.3%). This imbalance may be influenced by the seasonal context of September, a time when the return to school and university freshers' week typically brings increased foot traffic and social activity to the area. The most common crime types included shoplifting (9.6% of total incidents) and public order offences (9.1%), both of which are significantly above the UK averages for their respective categories. The data also shows a marked contrast between violent crime rates and property crime rates, with the former being 110% above the UK average compared to property crimes, which are 76% above the national rate. This divergence may reflect local characteristics, such as the presence of a market town centre that attracts both residents and visitors, creating environments where public order issues and personal violence are more likely to occur. The seasonal shift in activity, combined with the area's built-up nature, likely contributes to the high proportion of violent incidents, though the exact causal mechanisms remain to be explored through further analysis.

September 2024 saw a stark shift in Carmarthen's crime profile, with violent crimes accounting for 44.9% of all reported incidents—significantly higher than property crimes (28.3%). This imbalance, where violence and sexual offences (84 cases) outnumbered shoplifting and public order offences combined, may reflect seasonal factors such as the return to school and university freshers' week, which often correlate with increased public disorder. Vehicle crime surged by 300%, rising from one to four incidents, a figure that could be linked to changes in parking patterns or increased traffic during the month. Conversely, burglary and robbery rates fell by 50% and 66.7%, respectively, suggesting that targeted efforts or natural fluctuations may have temporarily reduced these categories. The sharp rise in possession of weapons—doubling from zero to three cases—raises concerns about the availability of such items in the built-up area. These contrasting trends highlight the complexity of addressing crime in a community where violent incidents dominate the statistics.

Carmarthen's crime rate in September 2024 fell to 12.2 per 1,000 residents, a 20.1% decrease from the previous month's rate of 15.3 per 1,000. This decline suggests a temporary easing in crime trends. above the UK average. Locally, this translates to an average of six crimes reported each day, a figure that underscores the persistent challenge of maintaining public safety in the built-up area. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 82 residents, a monthly exposure rate that highlights the frequency of incidents in a community of 15,295 people. While the population-scaled perspective shows a reduction from August, the absolute number of crimes still reflects a significant burden on local services and residents. The drop in burglary and robbery rates—by 50% and 66.7%, respectively—may partly explain this decline, though the sharp rise in vehicle crime and possession of weapons complicates the picture. These contrasting trends illustrate the need for targeted interventions that address both the immediate and underlying factors driving crime in the area.