Carmarthen Crime Rate April 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthen's built-up area recorded a crime rate of 14.0 per 1,000 residents in April 2025, placing it 81.8% above the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000. This stark divergence from national trends underscores the area's unique challenges, with violence and sexual offences dominating the crime picture at 95 incidents—44.4% of the total. These violent crimes, at 6.2 per 1,000, are 138% above the UK average, reflecting a persistent issue that likely stems from the town's social dynamics and public spaces. Public order offences (26 incidents, 12.2% of total) and criminal damage and arson (25 incidents, 11.7%) also surged far above national benchmarks, potentially influenced by the Easter period and increased outdoor activity in spring. While anti-social behaviour (20 incidents) remained slightly below the UK average (2% lower), this category's relatively low impact contrasts with the explosive growth in other areas. Seasonal factors likely play a role, as April's warmer weather and holiday-related events may have intensified social interactions in public venues, contributing to the rise in disorderly conduct and property damage. However, the area's overall crime profile remains heavily skewed toward violent and disruptive crimes, which are not typically associated with seasonal fluctuations but may be exacerbated by local socioeconomic conditions. The dominance of violence and public order issues suggests a need for targeted interventions in high-traffic areas, while the decline in shoplifting and burglary—linked to the Easter break—indicates that temporary factors can influence specific crime types. This combination of consistent and transient influences shapes Carmarthen's crime profile, requiring nuanced approaches to address its most pressing issues.

April 2025 saw a marked surge in public order offences, which rose by 85.7% to 26 incidents—215% above the UK average. This category's dramatic increase may reflect the impact of Easter-related gatherings and springtime social activity, which often heighten tensions in shared spaces. Simultaneously, 'other crime' saw a 133.3% jump from three to seven incidents, suggesting unclassified or emerging issues that warrant closer monitoring. In contrast, burglary dropped by 66.7% to three incidents, possibly linked to the Easter break reducing opportunities for property crimes. Shoplifting also fell by 63.6%, from 22 to eight, which could be attributed to seasonal shopping patterns or temporary enforcement efforts. Violence and sexual offences remained 138% above the UK average, with 95 incidents accounting for 44.4% of total crimes. This dominance of violent crime highlights a persistent challenge for local authorities, with no clear seasonal mitigation observed. Residents may find the 4.4% overall rate increase concerning, but the mixed trends across categories indicate that some factors are worsening while others are improving.

Carmarthen's crime rate in April 2025 rose to 14.0 per 1,000 residents, a 4.4% increase from March's 13.4 per 1,000. This places the area significantly above the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the built-up area recorded an average of seven crimes per day, reflecting a consistent local rhythm of activity. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 71 residents, highlighting the frequency of incidents within a relatively small population. While the overall rate remains elevated compared to national benchmarks, the month-on-month shift suggests a temporary spike in certain categories, such as public order offences and other crimes. This aligns with seasonal patterns, as spring weather and Easter-related activity may have increased foot traffic and social interactions in public spaces. However, the decline in burglary and shoplifting—down 66.7% and 63.6% respectively—may indicate that seasonal holidays or temporary factors influenced these specific categories. The contrast between rising and falling crime types underscores the complexity of local dynamics, where some issues intensify while others recede. For residents, these figures translate to a heightened awareness of public safety, particularly in areas prone to disorder, while others may feel reassured by the reduction in property-related crimes.