Carmarthen Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

July 2025 marked a stark contrast in Carmarthen's crime profile, with a total crime rate of 17.0 per 1,000 residents—nearly double the UK average of 8.6. This figure underscores the area's persistent challenges with public safety, particularly in violent crimes, which accounted for 50.8% of all reported incidents. The most significant category, violence and sexual offences, was 183% above the UK average, reflecting a troubling pattern that may be exacerbated by the summer season's increased foot traffic and social activity. Criminal damage and arson also saw a sharp rise, 162% above the national average, suggesting potential links to the area's historical landmarks and the associated risks of vandalism during peak tourist months. Anti-social behaviour, while still a concern, was 23% below the UK average, indicating that local initiatives or community policing may be having a positive effect in certain areas. The seasonal context of July—characterised by school holidays, festivals, and outdoor events—likely contributed to the volatility in crime patterns. For instance, the 100% increase in robbery cases may be tied to the influx of visitors and the associated opportunities for opportunistic crime. Similarly, the sharp rise in vehicle crime could be linked to the increased presence of cars in public spaces during the summer. However, the significant decrease in shoplifting—42.9% compared to the previous month—suggests that targeted interventions or changes in retail security practices may have had an impact. These fluctuations highlight the combination of seasonal factors, local demographics, and crime prevention strategies. The data also reveals a broader picture of Carmarthen's crime profile, where property crimes make up a smaller proportion than violent offences, a trend that may be influenced by the town's urban character and the associated risks of personal safety. As the area navigates the challenges of the summer season, the interplay between these factors will be critical in shaping future crime prevention efforts.

July 2025 saw dramatic spikes in several crime categories, with robbery, vehicle crime, and bicycle theft each doubling from June levels. These increases, though statistically significant, may be linked to the summer season's impact on local activity patterns, such as festivals and extended outdoor events. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 42.9%, potentially reflecting seasonal shifts in retail activity or targeted policing efforts. Violent crimes, which accounted for 50.8% of all reported incidents, were 183% above the UK average, highlighting Carmarthen's persistent challenges with violence and sexual offences. Anti-social behaviour, however, was 23% below the UK average, a notable contrast that may indicate effective community engagement in certain areas. For residents, the daily crime count of 8 incidents per day provides a tangible measure of the local safety landscape, offering context for those considering long-term residency or visiting the area.

Carmarthen's crime rate in July 2025 fell by 4.4% compared to the previous month, from 17.8 to 17.0 per 1,000 residents. This slight decline contrasts with the overall trend of elevated crime levels in the area. On a daily basis, Carmarthen recorded approximately 8 crimes per day in July, a figure that reflects the area's ongoing challenges with public safety. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 59 residents, a monthly aggregate that underscores the frequency of incidents in a relatively small population. While the rate remains significantly higher than the UK average, the month-on-month reduction suggests potential stabilisation in certain crime categories. This context is critical for residents and local authorities assessing long-term trends and resource allocation. The comparison to the previous month highlights the volatility of crime patterns, particularly in categories such as robbery and vehicle crime, which saw sharp increases in July. These fluctuations may be influenced by seasonal factors, including the peak of summer tourism and the associated changes in community dynamics.