Carmarthenshire Crime Rate June 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire's overall crime rate in June 2023 stood at 7.5 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 11.8% below the UK average of 8.5 per 1,000. This performance reflects a combination of factors, including the area's rural-urban mix and seasonal dynamics. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 39.6% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (21.7%) and public order offences (11.2%). These figures are consistent with the start of summer, when increased foot traffic in coastal and rural areas may contribute to higher rates of public order and anti-social behaviour. The local rate for violence and sexual offences (3.0 per 1,000) is 3% above the UK average, suggesting that the area's mix of urban centres and open spaces may create environments where such crimes are more prevalent. Conversely, shoplifting (0.4 per 1,000) and other theft (0.3 per 1,000) are significantly below national averages, reflecting effective retail security measures or lower foot traffic in non-tourist areas. The seasonal context of June—longer daylight hours and the onset of summer tourism—may also influence patterns, with increased activity in public spaces driving anti-social behaviour while reducing opportunities for vehicle crime, which remains 79% below the UK average. This juxtaposition of above- and below-average trends highlights the complexity of local crime dynamics, shaped by both geographic characteristics and temporal factors.

June 2023 saw dramatic month-on-month increases in burglary (+628.6%), shoplifting (+572.7%), and vehicle crime (+500.0%), reflecting a significant shift in crime patterns. The surge in burglary, from 7 to 51 incidents, may be linked to seasonal changes, such as increased property exposure during summer or heightened activity in rural areas. Shoplifting's exponential rise—from 11 to 74 cases—suggests either targeted retail theft or a broader trend in consumer behaviour, though the rate (0.4 per 1,000) remains 26% below the UK average. Vehicle crime's 500% increase (4 to 24) is striking, though the local rate (0.1 per 1,000) is still 79% below the national average, indicating that while incidents have risen, they remain relatively low. This contrast between sharp local increases and continued below-average rates for certain categories highlights the need for nuanced analysis. For instance, violence and sexual offences (3.0 per 1,000) are 3% above the UK average, a figure that may reflect the area's mix of urban and rural environments. Meanwhile, other theft (0.3 per 1,000) is 54% below the national average, due to effective policing or community initiatives in key areas. These fluctuations underscore the importance of monitoring specific crime types, as the overall rate mask significant variations in local performance.

Carmarthenshire's June 2023 crime rate (7.5 per 1,000) marks a 135.4% increase compared to the previous month's rate of 3.2 per 1,000, a jump that translates to 48 reported crimes per day on average. This monthly figure means that over the course of June, one crime occurred for roughly every 133 residents, a ratio that is 11.8% lower than the UK average. While the sharp month-on-month rise is notable, the area's overall rate remains below the national benchmark, suggesting that the increase may be concentrated in specific categories rather than a broad trend. The daily crime count of 48 provides context for residents: in a single day, the likelihood of encountering a crime is 1 in 48 (if evenly distributed), though actual risks vary by location and time of day. The population-scaled perspective reveals that, despite the 135% rise from May, Carmarthenshire's crime burden is still lighter than the UK average, with 7.5 incidents per 1,000 residents compared to 8.5 nationally. This contrast is particularly evident in categories like vehicle crime, where local rates are 79% below the UK average, and shoplifting, which remains 26% below national levels. These figures suggest that while certain areas or sectors may experience spikes, the broader regional context continues to position Carmarthenshire as a relatively safer area within the UK's crime profile.