Carmarthenshire Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

In October 2023, Carmarthenshire recorded a crime rate of 6.3 per 1,000 residents, 21.3% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000. This figure highlights a consistent trend of lower-than-average crime levels in the area, which may be influenced by its geographical and demographic characteristics. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 44.3% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (17.2%) and criminal damage and arson (9.4%). This dominance of violent crime over property-related offences suggests a different crime profile compared to other regions, potentially shaped by local factors such as population density, economic conditions, or community dynamics. Seasonal context in October—characterised by darker evenings, the transition to winter, and Halloween—may have contributed to increased incidents of violence. The relatively low rates of property crime, including shoplifting (5.5%) and vehicle crime (0.9%), contrast sharply with the UK average, indicating that Carmarthenshire’s crime profile is distinct in its focus on violent rather than property-related offences. These patterns may be influenced by the area’s rural and semi-rural nature, where community engagement and local policing could play a role in mitigating property crime. However, the high proportion of violent crime remains a critical area for further analysis, as it may reflect broader societal or environmental factors unique to the region.

Month-on-month changes in October 2023 revealed notable fluctuations in specific crime categories. Burglary saw the most dramatic increase, rising by 68.4% from 19 to 32 incidents, a shift that may reflect seasonal factors such as darker evenings and Halloween activities. Conversely, bicycle theft fell by 55.6%, possibly linked to reduced outdoor activity or increased awareness during the month. The balance between property and violent crime remained skewed, with violent crimes comprising 44.3% of all incidents—4% above the UK average for this category. Anti-social behaviour, however, was 14% below the UK average, a trend that could indicate effective local initiatives or a lower prevalence of such incidents in the area. For residents, the sharp rise in burglary is a key data point to consider, as it represents a significant increase in a typically low-frequency crime type.

Carmarthenshire’s crime rate in October 2023 remained stable at 6.3 per 1,000 residents, matching the rate from the previous month. This consistency suggests no major shifts in overall crime levels during the period. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 39 crimes per day, a figure that reflects local patterns but does not directly compare to national averages due to the absence of UK-wide daily data. When considering the monthly exposure, one crime occurred for roughly every 158 residents over the course of October, a statistic that contextualises the frequency of incidents within the population. This rate is lower than the UK average, which underscores the area’s relative safety compared to the rest of the country. The population context further illustrates that while crime is present, it is distributed across a larger number of residents, potentially reducing the immediate impact on any single individual or community.