Carmarthenshire Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

In October 2023, Carmarthenshire's overall crime rate of 6.3 per 1,000 residents placed it 21.3% below the UK average of 8.0. This disparity, while significant, was not uniform across crime types. Violent crimes, which accounted for 44.3% of all incidents, were higher than property crimes (25.0%), creating an imbalance that may reflect broader social dynamics. Violence and sexual offences, the most common category, were 4% above the UK average, possibly influenced by the area's demographic profile or seasonal factors such as darker evenings and Halloween. Anti-social behaviour, though a major category (17.2% of total incidents), was 14% below the UK average, suggesting local interventions may be effective in mitigating such behaviour. The seasonal context of October—marked by the clocks going back and the onset of darker evenings—may have contributed to the higher proportion of violent crimes, as outdoor activities diminish and indoor social interactions increase. Property crimes, while lower overall, showed mixed trends: burglary rose sharply, while shoplifting and other theft categories declined. These patterns may be influenced by local factors, such as the area's rural character, which could affect both the visibility of property crimes and the likelihood of violent incidents. The data underscores a combination of crime types, seasonal rhythms, and local policing efforts, all of which warrant continued monitoring.

Violent crimes dominated October's crime profile, accounting for 44.3% of all incidents, compared to property crimes at 25.0%. This imbalance may partly explain the area's overall crime rate being 21.3% below the UK average, as violent crime rates in Carmarthenshire were 4% above the national average, while property crime categories like burglary were 41% below. Month-on-month, burglary saw a striking 68.4% increase, rising from 19 to 32 incidents, a spike that could indicate seasonal factors such as Halloween-related activity or increased home occupancy during the month. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 13.2%, linked to reduced retail footfall or targeted policing efforts. Anti-social behaviour, a major category, remained 14% below the UK average, suggesting local initiatives may be effective in curbing such incidents. These figures offer residents a clear snapshot of where crime prevention efforts could be prioritized.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in October 2023 remained stable at 6.3 per 1,000 residents, matching the previous month's figure. This consistency suggests no abrupt shifts in overall crime trends. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 39 crimes per day, a figure that reflects the total monthly tally of 1,210 incidents spread across 31 days. When considering the population of 190,800, this translates to a monthly exposure of one reported crime for roughly every 158 residents. While this ratio is lower than the UK average, it highlights the importance of local policing and community engagement in maintaining safety. The rate's stability over consecutive months indicates that ongoing efforts to address crime may be having a sustained impact, though further analysis would be needed to confirm long-term effectiveness.