Carmarthenshire Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire’s January 2024 crime rate of 1.7 per 1,000 residents places it 77% below the UK average, a stark contrast to the national figure of 7.4 per 1,000. This disparity reflects the area’s unique demographic and geographic profile, likely shaped by its rural-urban mix and lower population density. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 47.7% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (34.5%) and drugs (4.7%). These figures highlight a pattern where violent crime remains the dominant category, though it is 69% below the UK average. The seasonal context of January—a post-holiday period with reduced retail activity and shorter days—may contribute to the lower overall crime rate, particularly for property-related offences. However, the data also reveals a concerning trend: anti-social behaviour increased by 26.4% compared to December, suggesting a need for closer attention to community dynamics. The low rates of shoplifting, burglary, and vehicle crime, which are all 100% below UK averages, may be linked to the area’s rural nature, where fewer commercial premises and lower foot traffic reduce opportunities for such crimes. These findings underscore the importance of contextual factors in shaping local crime profiles, even as the overall rate remains significantly lower than the national benchmark.

January 2024 saw a 26.4% increase in anti-social behaviour, with incidents rising from 87 to 110. This surge, while modest in absolute terms, signals a shift in the crime mix, as violent crimes (152) remained the most common category but fell 69% below the UK average. Property crimes, including burglary and shoplifting, dropped sharply—burglary fell 95.5% (44 to 2), and shoplifting declined 90% (60 to 6). These reductions may reflect heightened security measures or seasonal factors, such as reduced foot traffic during January’s post-holiday lull. Carmarthenshire’s violent crime rate of 0.8 per 1,000 is 69% below the UK average, a disparity that likely reflects the area’s rural character and lower population density. Residents should remain cautious, however, as the rise in anti-social behaviour suggests increased community tensions or unmet local needs that may require targeted interventions.

Carmarthenshire’s January 2024 crime rate of 1.7 per 1,000 residents marks a 67.3% decrease from December 2023’s rate of 5.1 per 1,000. This sharp decline aligns with seasonal patterns typical of January, a post-holiday period marked by reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours, which may limit opportunities for outdoor crimes. Daily, the area recorded roughly 10 crimes—equivalent to one incident every 24 hours, a figure that, while low, reflects the area’s broader trend of sustained underperformance compared to the UK average. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 598 residents, a ratio that underscores the relatively low risk of victimisation in Carmarthenshire compared to other regions. This monthly exposure is 77% below the UK average, highlighting the area’s distinct position in the national crime profile. When scaled to the local population of 190,800, the figures suggest that residents face a markedly lower likelihood of encountering crime than their counterparts elsewhere in the UK, though the recent uptick in anti-social behaviour signals a need for continued vigilance in specific areas.