Carmarthenshire Crime Rate March 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 190,800, Carmarthenshire recorded 1,326 crimes in March 2025, translating to 7.0 crimes per 1,000 residents. This rate is 10.3% below the UK average of 7.8 per 1,000, marking one of the most significant regional disparities in recent months. The crime profile reveals a striking dominance of violent crimes, which accounted for 46.1% of all incidents (611 cases), significantly higher than the UK average for this category (2.7 per 1,000). Anti-social behaviour (145 cases) and public order offences (118 cases) followed, though both categories showed notable deviations from national trends. The seasonal shift to spring, with evenings lengthening after the clocks changed, likely contributes to increased visibility of public spaces, potentially explaining the 46.1% share of violent crimes and the 10.9% share of anti-social behaviour. Shoplifting rates (58 cases) remained 56% below the UK average (0.7 per 1,000), a pattern consistent with Carmarthenshire’s relatively lower retail density compared to major urban centres. This contrast highlights the area’s character as a mix of rural and coastal communities, where commercial activity is concentrated in specific zones rather than sprawling high streets. The overall crime rate, while lower than the UK average, reflects a combination of local demographics, seasonal factors, and geographic distribution of services and amenities.

March 2025 saw dramatic fluctuations in specific crime categories, with anti-social behaviour surging by 88.3% (from 77 to 145 cases) compared to February, the largest single-month increase in the dataset. This spike may be linked to the transition to spring, when increased social activity and longer evenings could strain community resources. Public order offences also rose by 40.5% (from 84 to 118), suggesting a potential correlation with seasonal events or gatherings. Conversely, shoplifting declined by 33.3% (from 87 to 58), a trend that aligns with Carmarthenshire’s lower retail density and reduced foot traffic in certain areas during March. Other crime categories showed marked decreases, including a 55.9% drop in 'other crime' (from 93 to 41 cases), which may reflect improved local policing or community engagement initiatives. Violent crimes, though remaining the most common category, were 17% above the UK average (3.2 per 1,000), a figure that could be partly explained by the area’s mix of urban and rural environments, where isolated incidents may be more likely to go unreported or under-policed. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.8 per 1,000, was 36% below the UK average, a discrepancy that may reflect effective local interventions or differences in reporting practices.

The crime rate in March 2025 (7.0 per 1,000) represented a 4.8% increase from February’s 6.6 per 1,000.3% below the UK average. Over the course of the month, 1326 crimes were reported, equating to approximately 43 crimes per day—a figure that, while seemingly high, is distributed across a population of 190,800 residents. This translates to 1 reported crime for every 144 residents over the month, a statistic that contextualises the scale of incidents in a way that avoids overemphasising daily fluctuations. When compared to the previous month, the rise in crime appears modest but is concentrated in specific categories, particularly anti-social behaviour and public order offences. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Carmarthenshire’s crime rate, though lower than the UK average, is not uniform across all demographics or geographic areas. For instance, the 56% shortfall in shoplifting compared to the UK average (0.7 per 1,000) may reflect the area’s limited retail infrastructure, whereas the 17% excess in violent crimes could indicate challenges in addressing incidents in more isolated or underserved communities. These figures underscore the importance of tailoring local strategies to the unique characteristics of Carmarthenshire, balancing broader national trends with region-specific needs.