Tumble Crime Rate

Tumble is a safe urban settlement with a crime rate of 73.1 per 1,000 people, which is significantly lower than the UK average of 91.7. This is reflected in a strong safety score of 80/100, placing it well above the national benchmark of 79/100. While the area has seen a recent 68.6% increase in crime year-over-year, its absolute crime levels remain low compared to larger urban centres. Tumble residents benefit from low rates of property crime, although vehicle crime is a notable concern during specific hours. Personal safety and anti-social behaviour form the bulk of local reports. The following data provides a detailed analysis of crime types, monthly trends, and time-based patterns to help the community stay informed and secure.

Crime in Tumble

Violence and sexual offences are the primary crime category in Tumble, accounting for 55.9% of all reports with 81 incidents. Criminal damage and arson (12.4%) and anti-social behaviour (6.9%) are the next most frequent issues. Overall, property-related crime—including burglary, theft, vehicle crime, and shoplifting—stands at 19.2 per 1,000 people. This is significantly lower than the UK average of 32.3, suggesting that Tumble is a safe environment for homeowners and residents. Vehicle crime specifically accounts for 5.5% of local crime, with eight incidents reported. For residents, the high proportion of violence and criminal damage indicates that personal safety and the protection of property exteriors are the main local concerns, while the risk of traditional theft or break-ins remains low by national standards.

Tumble has experienced a significant 68.6% increase in crime over the past year, a trend that is clearly reflected in the monthly data. The period saw crime rates peak dramatically in July 2025 at 11.6 per 1,000, with another high point in April at 9.6. Following this summer peak, the rate has shown some volatility but generally remained higher than the previous year. By November 2025, the rate settled at 5.0. This overall upward trend indicates that the area is experiencing more activity than in the previous year, and residents should remain more vigilant than they may have been in the past.

How To Keep Safe in Tumble

Violence and sexual offences are the most common crime type in Tumble, making up nearly 56% of all reported incidents. To enhance your personal safety, consider these practical and proactive tips:

• Always be aware of your surroundings when walking in public areas, particularly during the evening and night; stick to well-lit main roads and avoid isolated shortcuts.
• If you are out socialising, try to travel with others and ensure someone knows your expected arrival time and route home.
• Get involved in local community safety groups or neighbourhood watch schemes; a connected and vigilant community is an excellent deterrent against anti-social behaviour.
• Keep your home's exterior well-lit at night; motion-activated lighting can deter both anti-social behaviour and potential property intruders.
• Report any suspicious activity or public disorder to the local police; early reporting helps authorities allocate resources effectively and maintain the town's high safety score.
• Ensure your mobile phone is fully charged and easily accessible when you are out, and consider using safety features like location sharing with trusted contacts.
• Given the high proportion of vehicle crime at night, ensure your car is parked in a secure, well-lit area and that no valuables are left inside.

Crime in Tumble exhibits distinct temporal patterns. During the morning (6am - 12pm) and afternoon (12pm - 6pm), theft is a primary concern, accounting for 30% and 36% of crimes respectively. This suggests that opportunistic crime is more common during daylight hours. Conversely, as the day transitions into night, the nature of crime shifts dramatically. Between midnight and 6am, vehicle crime reaches its highest proportion at a striking 45% of period crimes, which is significantly higher than at any other time. The evening and night periods are also heavily dominated by 'other' crimes, which includes the area's most frequent category, violence and sexual offences. This pattern highlights that while theft is a daytime risk, vehicles are exceptionally vulnerable overnight in Tumble.

Newcastle Emlyn sits in a region with several very safe, smaller settlements. While areas like Waungilwen, Cenarth, Penrhiw-llan, and Abercych recorded no crime during this period, Newcastle Emlyn remains a very secure choice for a larger, populated town. Its crime rate of 61.0 is well below the national average and compares favourably to other urban settlements in Carmarthenshire. For residents and those considering a move to the area, Newcastle Emlyn offers a balance of town amenities with a safety profile that is significantly better than the UK typical experience.

With a property crime rate of 19.2 per 1,000, Tumble is already quite secure. However, the 68.6% increase in overall crime suggests that residents can benefit from moving beyond traditional reactive security. DIY cameras and basic alarms only tell you what happened after the event. scOS offers a proactive alternative, using advanced AI to monitor your property's boundaries 24/7. It can identify potential threats, such as a vehicle with cloned plates or an individual loitering, and respond autonomously with lights or audio alerts. This proactive approach destroys the element of surprise and can deter a criminal before they even attempt to touch your property. In an area like Tumble, where vehicle crime is a major concern overnight—accounting for 45% of night-time crime—investing in professional-grade, AI-powered protection like scOS is the best way to ensure your home remains a hard target and your family stays safe.