Tumble Crime Rate

Tumble's crime rate of 71.6 per 1,000 residents places it 21% below the UK average, marking it as a relatively safe area. However, a sharp 500% year-on-year increase in 'Other crime' highlights an emerging concern. While property crime remains 52.6% below the UK average, the surge in unclassified incidents suggests shifting patterns in local activity or reporting practices.

Tumble is a built-up area in Carmarthenshire, characterised by a mix of residential and commercial properties. As a commuter hub with proximity to larger towns, it experiences moderate foot traffic and vehicle movement, which can influence property-related crime. Its lower population density compared to urban centres may contribute to lower burglary rates, though rising 'Other crime' suggests shifting patterns in local activity.

Tumble's most surprising finding is that 'Other crime' is 51% above the UK average (3.0 vs 2.0 per 1,000). This category likely encompasses unclassified or low-level incidents that may not align with traditional crime types. Conversely, anti-social behaviour is 59% below the UK average, potentially reflecting community cohesion or effective local policing. Violence and sexual offences, though 32% above the UK average, may be linked to local demographics or social dynamics, such as transient populations in mixed-use areas. The 500% YoY surge in 'Other crime' remains unexplained by the data but deserves closer attention into reporting practices or emerging trends.

Crime in Tumble has increased by 30.3% year-on-year, with 'Other crime' surging 500% YoY. This sharp rise in an unclassified category is unexplained by the data but may reflect changes in reporting practices or emerging local issues. Violence and sexual offences have also increased by 47.4% YoY, reaching 42.4 per 1,000 — 32% above the UK average. The monthly trend shows a peak in July 2025 (11.6 per 1,000), likely linked to summer-related activity, followed by a steep decline in February 2026 (2.5 per 1,000). This pattern may be influenced by seasonal factors or temporary changes in local activity.

How To Keep Safe in Tumble

For residents, securing vehicles in residential areas is critical, given the 200% YoY rise in vehicle crime. While overall property crime is low, the sharp increase in 'Other crime' suggests vigilance in public spaces, particularly during evening hours when this category peaks. Anti-social behaviour is 59% below the UK average, but maintaining community cohesion through local initiatives can help sustain this trend. For property owners, scOS's real-time monitoring and deterrence features are recommended to address the unexplained rise in 'Other crime'.

Crime in Tumble shows distinct temporal patterns. Theft peaks in the afternoon (12pm-6pm), likely tied to shoplifting in local businesses. Vehicle crime spikes at night (12am-6am), possibly due to unsecured cars in residential areas. 'Other crime' dominates evening hours (6pm-12am), with 61% of such incidents occurring after 6pm. This aligns with increased social activity in the area, though the exact nature of 'Other crime' remains unclear. Morning hours (6am-12pm) see minimal crime, with burglary and theft accounting for only 6% of incidents during this period.

Tumble's crime rate (71.6 per 1,000) is 81% higher than Pontyberem (39.6 per 1,000) and 100% higher than Cross Hands and Pen-y-groes (35.8 per 1,000). Despite this, Tumble's overall safety score of 80/100 is 1 point above the UK average. The disparity may stem from differences in population density or local economic factors, though the data does not specify exact reasons.

For Tumble households, scOS's proactive boundary detection and DVLA vehicle verification are particularly relevant. With 'Other crime' surging 500% YoY and vehicle crime rising 200% YoY, real-time monitoring of property perimeters and automated deterrence can mitigate risks, scOS's AI evaluates behaviour against time of day and known visitors, triggering lights and speakers to deter intruders. For areas where vehicle crime spikes at night, DVLA checks on approaching vehicles provide an added layer of protection.