Cranfield Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Cranfield’s October 2024 crime rate of 3.6 per 1,000 residents stands at 55.6% below the UK average of 8.1, positioning the area as one of the safest in the country. This stark contrast to national trends is evident across multiple crime categories, with violence and sexual offences (11 incidents, 39.3% of total) and anti-social behaviour (6 incidents, 21.4%) forming the bulk of reported crimes. The low overall rate, combined with the UK’s higher average, suggests a combination of geographic factors—Cranfield’s built-up character within a rural district likely contributes to reduced exposure to high-risk environments typically associated with urban centres. Seasonal context further shapes these patterns: October’s shorter daylight hours and Halloween festivities may have influenced the 500% surge in anti-social behaviour, though this remains an outlier compared to the UK’s 1.3 per 1,000 rate. Meanwhile, property crimes such as burglary (0.4 per 1,000) and vehicle crime (0.4 per 1,000) remain significantly below national averages, reflecting the area’s smaller scale and possibly lower levels of commercial activity. This contrast is particularly notable in burglary, where Cranfield’s rate is 21% above the UK average—a rare exception in an otherwise low-crime profile. The data also shows a marked drop in criminal damage and arson (-75% month-on-month), linked to reduced outdoor activity during darker evenings. Overall, Cranfield’s crime picture illustrates how local conditions, from population density to seasonal rhythms, can shape outcomes that diverge sharply from national trends.

October saw sharp increases in anti-social behaviour (+500%), drugs (+100%), and vehicle crime (+100%), though these remain well below UK averages. Anti-social behaviour, now the second most common crime, occurred at 0.8 per 1,000—38% below the UK rate of 1.3. Conversely, burglary rates in Cranfield (0.4 per 1,000) exceeded the UK average by 21%, a rare outlier in an otherwise low-crime area. This imbalance may partly reflect the area’s built-up nature, where property crimes are more concentrated despite overall low rates. Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson dropped 75% from the previous month, likely linked to seasonal factors such as reduced outdoor activity during darker evenings. For residents, the sharp rise in anti-social behaviour—now six incidents in October—suggests a need for heightened vigilance in public spaces, particularly as Halloween approaches.

Cranfield’s crime rate in October 2024 rose 11.9% from the previous month, moving from 3.2 to 3.6 per 1,000 residents. While this upward trend is modest, it underscores the dynamic nature of local crime patterns. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately one crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that reflects both the low overall rate and the sporadic nature of incidents. When scaled to the population, this translates to one reported crime for roughly every 279 residents over the course of the month—a stark contrast to the UK’s average of 8.1 per 1,000, which would imply one crime for every 123 residents. This disparity highlights Cranfield’s position as a relatively safe area, though the month-on-month increase suggests the need for continued monitoring. The population-scaled perspective also reveals that residents face a significantly lower risk of experiencing crime compared to the national average, a trend consistent with Cranfield’s character as a smaller, built-up area within a rural district.