Toddington Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Vehicle crime in Toddington stood at 11 incidents in January 2024, a rate of 2.2 per 1,000 residents — 340% above the UK average of 0.5 per 1,000. This stark outlier contrasts with the area’s overall crime rate of 7.5 per 1,000, just 1.4% above the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000. The breakdown reveals a distinct pattern: vehicle crime dominated with 29% of total incidents, followed by violence and sexual offences (18.4%) and anti-social behaviour (18.4%). While violent crime rates in Toddington were 46% below the UK average, property-related offences showed mixed trends, with burglary at 44% below the UK average but anti-social behaviour 41% above. Seasonal factors likely contribute to these patterns, as January typically sees reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours, which may dampen some crime types while leaving vehicle-related incidents more vulnerable to specific local conditions, such as parking congestion or unsecured vehicles in residential areas. The area’s built-up character within Central Bedfordshire, likely featuring a mix of residential and commercial zones, may create micro-environments where vehicle crime is more prevalent despite overall low crime rates. This highlights the importance of localized analysis beyond aggregated statistics.

Vehicle crime surged by 175% from 4 to 11 incidents in January 2024 compared to December 2023, marking the most significant increase. This jump, coupled with a 600% rise in violence and sexual offences (from 1 to 7), suggests a shift in crime dynamics. Anti-social behaviour also rose by 100% from 0 to 7 incidents, though this remains below the UK average for the category. The dominance of vehicle crime — 340% above the UK average — stands out as a critical concern, with no equivalent surge in other property crimes. Meanwhile, burglary and drug-related offences remained below UK averages, though the latter’s 5% deficit is negligible. For residents, the 2.2 per 1,000 rate for vehicle crime translates to roughly one incident for every 450 residents in January alone. This could be linked to local factors such as the distribution of car parks, traffic patterns, or the presence of high-value vehicles in the area. The contrast with violence and sexual offences, which are 46% below the UK average, may reflect Toddington’s relatively low population density and limited nightlife compared to larger urban centres.

Toddington’s January 2024 crime rate of 7.5 per 1,000 residents marked an 111.2% increase from the previous month’s 3.6 per 1,000, a shift that aligns with seasonal patterns typical of post-holiday periods. Over the course of January, this translated to one reported crime for every 133 residents — a figure that, while modest, reflects the area’s small population of 5,053. On a daily basis, the 38 total crimes spread across 31 days equated to roughly one incident per day, a rate that is likely influenced by the built-up area’s limited spatial footprint and concentrated population. When compared to the UK average, Toddington’s overall rate is nearly identical (7.5 vs 7.4 per 1,000), yet the composition of crimes diverges significantly. The area’s vehicle crime rate is 340% above the UK average, while its violence and sexual offences rate is 46% below. This divergence underscores the importance of localized context: while national trends may suggest a balanced distribution of crime types, Toddington’s unique characteristics — possibly including its proximity to transport routes or specific land use patterns — create conditions where certain crimes are represented. For residents, the monthly exposure of 1-in-133 highlights that while the area is statistically safer than the UK average in some categories, targeted vigilance around vehicle security may be warranted given the stark local outlier.