Ceredigion Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Ceredigion’s crime rate in July 2023 stood at 7.4 per 1,000 residents, placing it 10.8% below the UK average of 8.3. This figure reflects a generally low-crime environment, consistent with the area’s character as a rural district with a mix of coastal and inland communities. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 35.1% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (18.6%) and public order offences (11.9%). These patterns align with the seasonal context of July, a peak month for tourism and outdoor events, which may influence both crime types and reporting rates. For instance, the high proportion of public order offences could be linked to increased foot traffic in popular tourist areas, while the relatively low rate of burglary (2.0% of all crimes) may reflect the area’s rural nature, where homes are more spread out and less targeted. However, the data also reveals disparities compared to the UK average, with public order and drugs-related crimes significantly higher in Ceredigion. These trends suggest that local factors, such as the presence of festivals or the dynamics of seasonal tourism, may play a role in shaping crime patterns. The overall decline in violent crime, paired with the rise in other theft and other crime categories, indicates a shifting landscape that warrants ongoing monitoring.

July saw a dramatic 25.3% decrease in violence and sexual offences, the largest month-on-month change, dropping from 253 to 189 cases. This decline likely reflects seasonal factors, such as increased community activity during summer festivals and the closure of schools, which may reduce opportunities for violent incidents. Conversely, other theft and other crime categories rose sharply, with other theft increasing by 52.2% and other crime by 50.0%. These spikes suggest evolving crime patterns, potentially tied to the influx of tourists during peak season. Public order offences in Ceredigion were 45% above the UK average, while drugs-related crimes were 82% above. This contrast highlights areas where local conditions—such as the presence of nightlife or public events—may contribute to higher rates compared to the UK average.

Ceredigion’s crime rate in July 2023 fell by 7.5% compared to June, marking a continued downward trend. The monthly total of 539 crimes translates to 17 crimes reported each day, a figure that remains consistent with the area’s generally low crime profile. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 135 residents, a ratio that underscores the relatively safe environment compared to the UK average. The drop in violent crime—specifically a 25.3% decline in violence and sexual offences—aligns with seasonal patterns, as summer holidays and festivals may reduce opportunities for such incidents. However, the increase in other theft and other crime categories suggests shifting dynamics, possibly linked to increased foot traffic during tourism peaks. These changes highlight the combination of local factors, such as seasonal tourism and community engagement, which may influence crime trends in ways that require further observation.