Ceredigion Crime Rate May 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Ceredigion's crime rate in May 2023 stood at 3.4 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 57.5% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000. This stark deviation from the national picture highlights the area's unique crime profile, shaped by its rural landscape and coastal geography. Violence and sexual offences (107 cases) accounted for 43.5% of all crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (59 cases, 24.0%) and public order offences (22 cases, 8.9%). The dominance of violent crime in the local tally contrasts with the UK's broader mix, where property crimes often outnumber violent incidents. Seasonal factors likely influenced these patterns, as May's longer evenings and bank holidays may have amplified social interactions in public spaces, contributing to the surge in violence and anti-social behaviour. However, the area's crime rate remains exceptionally low compared to urban centres, a reflection of its lower population density and geographic isolation. Ceredigion's violent crime rate (1.5 per 1,000) is 46% below the UK average, a disparity consistent with rural areas where community cohesion and limited nightlife reduce opportunities for violent incidents. The absence of significant property crime—such as burglary (5 cases, 2.0% of total crimes) and vehicle crime (2 cases)—further underscores the area's distinct crime dynamics, where outdoor recreation and tourism may displace traditional crime hotspots.

May 2023 saw a 100% increase in robbery incidents, rising from 0 to 1 case, while anti-social behaviour surged by 37.2% (43 to 59 cases). This contrasted sharply with steep declines in shoplifting (-85.7%), public order offences (-71.1%), and other theft (-70.4%). The crime mix remained heavily skewed toward violent offences, with violence and sexual offences (1.5 per 1,000) sitting 46% below the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000. Anti-social behaviour (0.8 per 1,000) also fell 40% below the national rate of 1.3 per 1,000, a trend consistent with Ceredigion's rural character where community policing and lower population density may suppress such incidents. Residents might note the robbery increase as a local anomaly, though the overall crime profile remains markedly safer than the UK average.

Ceredigion's crime rate in May 2023 (3.4 per 1,000 residents) represents a 49.8% decrease from the previous month's rate of 6.8 per 1,000. This decline positions the area as significantly safer than it was in April, with daily crime counts averaging 8 incidents per day over the 31-day period. When contextualised against the local population of 72,599, this translates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 295 residents over the course of the month. The reduction in overall crime aligns with broader patterns observed in rural areas during spring, where increased daylight and community activity may contribute to lower incident rates. However, the month-on-month drop does not fully explain the stark contrast to the UK average, which remains 57.5% higher at 8.0 per 1,000. The local population's density and geographic character—likely shaped by its coastal and rural landscape—may further dilute crime risks compared to more densely populated urban centres.